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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (25498)12/12/2009 2:40:09 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71455
 
RSI 14 is 42 on daily charts, but the weekly is still high. Gold
does not have to get oversold to turn higher. I think all BRIC
countries are good investments going forward. Note that
if spoos crash, RSX will crash more, and it is also correlated
with crude. I do believe BRIC countries will continue
spectacular economic growth. I'm most bullish on India.
PIN is one ETF if my memory didn't fail -g-

You are right, the quick "triple" opportunity already passed, and there is
some risk in emerging markets at current prices.



To: carranza2 who wrote (25498)12/12/2009 3:01:46 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71455
 
If spooz sneeze, emerging markets crash.
That has always been the dynamics, but
I do think the 7% plus economic growth there
will continue, and China was nor a bubble.
All one has to do is look at Chinese GDP growth
on google during this lost decade in the US.

So, looking a year ahead anything can happen,
but in the next decade the standard of living in
these countries will grow quite rapidly, providing
good fundamental underpinning for a rapid growth
of the stock market



To: carranza2 who wrote (25498)12/12/2009 3:22:19 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71455
 
I can see a second dump coming to the global stock market next year.
Personally, I like what is being done right now here in the US. It's
not perfect, but a whole lot better than outright robbery during the
last year of W. However, desperately needed reforms to deal with
the global derivative bubble could, in fact, pop it. We need to stay
on high alert for that outcome in the coming year. The dynamics could
be similar to 2008. You just never know. They don't call this
"shadow" for no reason. High alert for black swans as reforms are
implemented. IMHO



To: carranza2 who wrote (25498)12/14/2009 1:43:43 PM
From: Real Man2 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 71455
 
If this is a mid-run correction for your typical gold
August-March seasonal bull, then it should move higher again
from around here, but it will be stuck between here and
low 1200-ish for about a month to work through overbought
condition on the weekly chart. The Weeklies are still
overbought, but the daily is actually oversold for a bull move.