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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Sully- who wrote (76396)	1/5/2010 4:39:52 PM
From: Sully-	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 90947

Trying to shoot the messenger: Scott Rasmussen By: Michael Barone Senior Political Analyst beltway-confidential 01/03/10 6:44 PM EST Politico has an article on how Democrats are trying to delegitimize pollster Scott Rasmussen. They [sic] lefties note that Rasmussen typically shows more adverse results for Barack Obama and Democrats than other pollsters. But, as Bill Kristol explains and as I have noted in the past, Rasmussen uses a likely voter screen which, in the current climate of opinion, tends to produce a more Republican sample than do pollsters who sample all adults or rergistered voters. And as Obama fan Nate Silver points out, Rasmussen’s numbers have been very much in line with election results in 2006 and 2008, when Democrats were much more enthusiastic than Republicans. Speaking of Rasmussen, he adjusts his party identification numbers every month, and in his latest report the Democratic party identification advantage over Republicans among likely voters is down to 35.5% to 34.0%--the lowest in these numbers since August 2005 and comparable to the party identification balance in the November 2005 election. You’ll remember that Hurricane Katrina hit the Gulf Coast and New Orleans in the last days of August 2005, and George W. Bush’s numbers never recovered. Republican numbers haven’t exactly recovered: they’re 3.3% to 3.1% below the Republican peak in the last four months of 2004. But Democratic numbers are down 6.2% to 6.4% from their peak in May and December 2008. Shooting the messenger can be fun, but the lefties attacking Scott Rasmussen might want to consider the possibility that the problem is the message. washingtonexaminer.com