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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1997 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Pancho Villa who wrote (6425)	11/3/1997 12:38:00 PM
From: Jon Tara	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9285

Pancho, ZITL will have the predictable end-of-year rally. Every year until 2000. Be cautious about yoru timing.

To: Pancho Villa who wrote (6425)	11/3/1997 4:10:00 PM
From: Roger A. Babb	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9285

Pancho, if there is an ambush coming on Zitel I can't see it. But then I don't have infinite wisdom so there is always the possibility that I will be proven wrong. Welcome to the "short Zitel club".

To: Pancho Villa who wrote (6425)	11/3/1997 6:28:00 PM
From: hasbeen101	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9285

With all the discussion you guys have here. I wonder what happened to efficient markets? A fascinating question. Most small-time speculators are blissfully oblivious to the evidence about efficient markets. But more and more academic evidence is being published to show that abnormal profits are possible, just not easy to get. I'm convinced that if you really understand the businesses you invest in, you can beat the market. BTW, I live in Australia, and the Australian market has been shown to be less efficient than the US market. One funds manager has exceeded the index by about 10% every year for the past 5 years, and even the efficient markets devotees admit that the likelihood that this was due to chance is infinitessimal. But consistently making money from trading id definitely not like shooting fish in a barrel...