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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: zeta1961 who wrote (68060)1/12/2010 10:45:47 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 149317
 
Health Care Reform to Date: So Very Far From Perfect

by Jon Walker /

Published on Tuesday, January 12, 2010 by FireDogLake.com

The most common defense of the Senate health care bill is that we should "not make the perfect the enemy of the good." If this were a debate between the perfect and the good, the decision to accept a compromise that only result in "the good" would be easy.

The issue is that we are not discussing the perfect, the good, or even the very decent. The fight is between the acceptable level of small improvement and a terrible corporate giveaway with a few minor improvements thrown in.

To show how far the debate is from the perfect I want to quickly outline what the perfect would look like.

The Perfect

The perfect would have the access to top of the line equipment and procedures found in Germany. It would offer equal access for everyone to a fully integrated health care with no or very low cost sharing, like that found in the UK. The system would provide our nation with average life expectancies on par with Japan, at low per capita cost like those found in New Zealand.

The perfect would increase our average life expectancy by roughly five years, cut our health care spending by 65%, and provide every individual in the country with access to high quality care with no large personal medical costs and eliminate fear of medical bankruptcy.

The Very Good

The "perfect" is probably unobtainable for a variety of reasons beyond politics. The very good would look more like an expanded, improved version of Medicare for everyone. It would be Medicare for all with some of Medicare's more serious problems resolved - like fixing the wasteful drug benefit program run by private insurance companies. This system would provide every American with good health insurance while reducing our national health expenditure by roughly 20-35%.

The Good

There are many different ways to get a "good" health care reform. One approach could be an option available to all to buy into a Medicare-like robust public option - this would be approximately 25% cheaper than private insurance - combined with automatic enrollment of everyone below 250% FPL in a high quality public health care program.

Another approach would be a Belgian-like system in which for-profit health insurance companies are eliminated; all non-profit insurance funds are required to only sell a few standardized high quality insurance plans; the same insurers are required to use a single government-set reimbursement rate, so all can truly afford health insurance. Such a plan would also need something like direct government negotiations with drug companies and drug re-importation to rein in the pharmaceutical companies. It would also need to provide true universal coverage instead of the Senate or House bills which will leave over 20 million in this country without health insurance.

The Decent

A decent health care reform bill would have some tough new regulations on insurance companies combined with a stronger social safety net and real cost control. Under such a bill, employers would be required to provide insurance, but they may offer only good health insurance, like in Hawaii.

A decent reform bill would need centralized reimbursement negotiators to reduce costs, as well drug re-importation to reduce cost for pharmaceuticals.

A major expansion of public insurance, like Medicaid, would also be needed for all the uninsured or provide generous subsidies to buy into a very cost effective Medicare-like public option.

The Acceptable

Acceptable reform is basically the House bill without the anti-choice Stupak amendment. There are some new regulations in the bill which cover all private insurers in the country. The bill employs national regulator enforcement so the new regulations have some bite to effect change. There is a limited amount of cost control, but not nearly enough to truly drive down overall health care costs. Employers are required to provide at least somewhat decent insurance coverage.

There is a very large expansion of Medicaid with increased payments to primary care doctors to make expanded Medicaid coverage usable. The subsidies are good for a limited number of insureds. People would be forced to buy insurance that might not be affordable but at least they are not forced to pay private insurance companies which have ruined our existing system.

Acceptable reform only decreases the number of uninsured but does not get us universal coverage.

The Bad

The Senate bill is just a bad corporate giveaway with a very few good things in it. It has some good new regulations but leaves enforcement up to the states. This is recipe for regulations which are not enforced and are therefore meaningless.

The new regulations only impact the small group market; they don't apply to the majority of private insurance in this country. The weird "free rider" provision instead of a real employer mandate creates some bad hiring incentives along with incentives to drop coverage.

The quality of the insurance people will be forced to buy is incredibly low and the subsidies are insufficient. People will have no other choice but to buy coverage from very inefficient and wasteful private insurance companies.

The bill lacks real cost control and the new poorly-designed excise tax will result in millions of Americans getting lower quality health insurance. The bill is not even a good foundation for future reform because it works on a state-by-state basis while directing huge amounts of money and power to the industries which opposed real reform.

The Senate bill does not provide anything close to universal coverage; it also contains a major roll back of women's reproductive health rights.

Far from perfect

It is important to remember that the perfect was never mentioned in this health care debate. The very good was declared impossible and did not even have a place at the table when they started planning reform last year. Even good reform was dismissed almost immediately.

The debate this entire time has been between what might be labeled "decent reform" at best, and terrible corporate giveaway labeled "reform." This is not about making the perfect the enemy of the good. We were never even offered the "good" as a compromise.

*Jon Walker is political writer and blogger for FireDogLake. He is an expert on health care policy and the politics of health care reform.

© 2010 FireDogLake.com



To: zeta1961 who wrote (68060)1/12/2010 5:39:40 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 149317
 
How Toasted Is Rahm?

newser.com



To: zeta1961 who wrote (68060)1/14/2010 6:13:11 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
The 10 Percent Rules
____________________________________________________________

By GAIL COLLINS
Op-Ed Columnist
The New York Times
January 14, 2010

If Massachusetts was the Department of Homeland Security, the special election to fill Ted Kennedy’s senate seat would have the Democrats about four-fifths of the way up the terror alert code.

Green: Everything is fine, and who cares if we spelled “Massachusetts” wrong in one of the ads.

Blue: Don’t forget to vote. It’s next Tuesday. You’ll remember to vote, right?

Yellow: Bill Clinton is coming for a rally. John Kerry has got to show up, too. I don’t care if he just had hip-replacement surgery.

Orange: You know, it really doesn’t matter whether you win by a million votes or one vote, just so long as you win.

The campaign has not hit red yet, although, for the Democrats, the whole world has begun to look orange with dark tints. Like a decaying pumpkin. It cannot be a good sign when the Massachusetts secretary of state has to deny rumors that he plans to stall certification of the election results until after the health care bill is passed.

Of course, it’s all about the health care bill. “As the 41st senator, I can stop it,” Scott Brown, the Republican nominee, says frequently.

We will return to our discussion of the Massachusetts special election shortly, after the following special rant about the concept of the 41st senator.

* * * * *

SPECIAL RANT

There are 100 members of the Senate. But as Brown is currently reminding us, because of the filibuster rule, it takes only 41 to stop any bill from passing.

U.S. population: 307,006,550.

Population for the 20 least-populated states: 31,434,822.

That means that in the Senate, all it takes to stop legislation is one guy plus 40 senators representing 10.2 percent of the country.

People, think about what we went through to elect a new president — a year and a half of campaigning, three dozen debates, $1.6 billion in donations. Then the voters sent a clear, unmistakable message. Which can be totally ignored because of a parliamentary rule that allows the representatives of slightly more than 10 percent of the population to call the shots.

Why isn’t 90 percent of the country marching on the Capitol with teapots and funny hats, waving signs about the filibuster?

* * * * *

O.K., done now.

Martha Coakley, the Democratic Senate nominee, is the kind of candidate who reminds you that the state that gave birth to John Kennedy also produced Michael Dukakis. She is the attorney general, and her speaking style has been compared to that of a prosecutor delivering a summation to the jury. In civil court. In a trial that involved, say, a dispute over widget tariffs.

She is so tone deaf that she made fun of her opponent for standing outside Fenway Park shaking hands “in the cold.” A week before the election, Coakley was off the campaign trail entirely in Washington for a fund-raiser that was packed with the usual suspects. But undoubtedly it was well heated.

Brown, her opponent, is a conservative state senator who believes in waterboarding but not necessarily global warming. When he was 22, he won an “America’s Sexiest Man” contest, the prize for which was $1,000 and a chance to pose naked in a Cosmopolitan magazine centerfold. One of his daughters — this is perhaps the best-known factoid in the campaign — came in somewhere between 13th and 16th on “American Idol.”

“For our family, especially me being on ‘Idol’ but my dad being in politics, there are always so many people who have something negative to say,” Ayla Brown told The Boston Herald this week. Her talent was singing, not sentence construction.

(This week Coakley unleashed a hard-hitting ad that charged Brown with being, um, a Republican. Brown’s hard-hitting response charged Coakley with running a negative ad. He is generally thought to have gotten the best of that round, especially given that little mishap with the spelling of the name of the state.)

Some polls show Coakley with a 15 percent lead. However, others show the race narrowing toward a tie. (“Dead heat,” announced a fund-raising e-mail message from John Kerry that seemed intended to induce panic attacks on the part of recipients.)

The surveys that show the race being too close to call do not seem as reliable as the ones that show Coakley winning handily, but the Democrats who watch these things say the absentee ballot requests are way up in traditionally Republican areas and down in the places that went hard for Obama in 2008.

The tea-party types are euphoric, pouring money in Brown’s direction. The people who voted for Barack Obama, meanwhile, are sullen and dispirited. This is, of course, partly because of the economy, but also partly because of the sense that the president is not getting anything done.

Which brings us back to the 10 percent rule. Don’t get me started again.

Copyright 2010 The New York Times Company



To: zeta1961 who wrote (68060)1/18/2010 1:57:36 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 149317
 
If you want to do something about the situation in Haiti, I can’t think of a better group to give to...

standwithhaiti.org



To: zeta1961 who wrote (68060)1/19/2010 3:14:28 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 149317
 
Analyzing a Polling Death Spiral -- Polls drive the narrative in MA?

dailykos.com



To: zeta1961 who wrote (68060)1/20/2010 5:20:15 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Here are some of the many DailyKos posts that may start to explain what happened in Massachusetts -- tough for outsiders to fully process...but there are lessons to be learned from some of these posts...

Have you ever been to Massachusetts?

by Noisy Democrat on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 11:45:48 PM PST

People in Massachusetts absolutely do vote based on whether the person cares enough to be visible, to stand in the cold shaking hands with voters, to show up. And they vote based on whether people they respect and have known for years are behind the candidate.

I'm originally from California, then lived in Michigan before moving to Boston. Massachusetts is different. It would never in a million years occur to me to bitch because I've never seen Senator Barbara Boxer in a Dunkin' Donuts in Silicon Valley. It never occurred to me to ask "How come I've never personally met Senator Debbie Stabenow?" in Michigan. But Massachusetts is much smaller, and the people care much more passionately about the personal touch, and they get really, seriously cranky when they feel that politicians aren't personally accessible. John Kerry knocked himself out to meet and talk with people in the small towns of Massachusetts when he was up for reelection in 2008. He had to. That's how Massachusetts is.

If Coakley didn't bother to get out and shake hands, and the Powers That Be in the Boston area didn't pull out all the stops for her -- there goes the election. Not saying health care wasn't a factor too, but you really can't dismiss these other factors.

_________________

by Catzmaw on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 09:47:08 PM PST

I've done A LOT of reading out at Boston.com and assorted other places where the comments of voters were recorded. Many of the Brown voters gloated about voting for "change" because they were sick of the "machine". A few of them talked about issues specific to Massachusetts as if Brown is somehow going to be able to change those things from his desk in Washington. Frankly, I was confounded at the degree of ignorance by the public about just what a Senator can do. They were probably spoiled by the extraordinarily effective Teddy Kennedy and think all Senators can do what he did for his constituents as a matter of course. Boy are they in for a surprise.

Other voters talked about disliking Martha Coakley for everything from screwing up the Curt Schilling question to that case she's alleged to have mishandled to being distant and/or aloof, to having really nasty commercials against the pretty, formerly naked Cosmo guy. There seemed to be a lot of personal animus against her. I didn't see many comments against Obama. Instead, what I saw from Brown and his supporters was a co-opting of the Obama message about hope and change. Filling the vacuum left by the failure of the Dems to actually address the issues raised by teabaggers and frightened people exposed to way too much Faux (Fox) News propaganda they were able to exploit the nebulous, formless dissatisfaction and disappointment of people convinced that they're getting the short end of the stick. People are worried and scared and the Dems don't want to talk about what scares them. Why don't Dems believe in explaining stuff to people in short, punchy sentences? Why can't they talk about some of the good stuff they've done in the past year? Why didn't anyone run ads talking about Coakley as a positive embodiment of Teddy's legacy?

This wasn't a referendum on the Obama agenda, but how about making it a referendum on the type of bullshit negative campaigning so beloved by Democratic campaign managers convinced that all they have to do to win is run a few ads calling their opponents names and accusing them of being evil? I see the same crap time and again - the Democratic ads accusing handsome, charming Republican candidates of "hating" women or some other such nonsense and completely alienating people who find these ads and attitudes to be over the top. The Dems don't need to change their philosophy or their goals. They need to change how they package the message.

______________________

Concerns about Coakley:

by Mogolori on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 08:18:54 PM PST

If everyone knew she was such a stiff, then why didn't the White House intercede and shut her down last summer? And barring that, why didn't they get up there this fall and start kicking her tail up and down the Mass Pike when she couldn't get herself motivated? Did no one in the Obama administration contemplate before last week that she might lose this race??

Well, they should have, because tonight Scott Brown may have slapped a "one-termer" sign on Obama's back. Not in a squeaker, but in a romp.

This loss accrues to Obama's entire political team, and he's going to have to fire someone.

Obama promised Kennedy on his death bed (read the last paragraph of The Globe's EMK obituary) that he would deliver health care. Now not only will health care stall (because the blue dogs and corporatists will abandon it like a one-eyed runt, maybe even 11 or 12 of them), but Obama will have shown himself politically incapable -- one year into office --of holding onto the Senate seat that generations of Kennedy's right down to the old Ambassador himself fought for for 50 years.

Albatrosses like these in electoral politics don't come much larger than this.
__________________________

OK, but I think some may need to understand this election in context...

by Fonsia on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 09:04:14 PM PST

The major dynamics of this are easy. It's as old as politics:

The country is in the toilet. It was in the toilet under the Rethugs, and they lost. It's still in the toilet under the Dems, so we lost.

When the country's in the toilet, the public votes against the guys in power. It really is that simple.

Obama's approval numbers are tracking Reagan's almost perfectly. Reagan was stuck in a deep recession during his first two years, and couldn't get the jobs numbers up any better than Obama, so far.

It's jobs, baby, jobs. Obama can turn this around the same way Reagan did, and I think he may be about to start doing that.

____________________

The only thing that worries me is that this recession is worse than Reagan's...

by Fonsia on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 09:53:03 PM PST

Obama's going to have to do something really innovative, like starting the Federal government, somehow, lending to small business if banks won't.

Or re-starting the WPA (shoulda done that with the stim bill).

Anyway, something innovative and popular.

Then let the Rethugs go to the Senate floor and filibuster it. Make them actually filibuster. For weeks. On teevee. Force them essentially to shut down the government (that worked so well for Newt, after all).

He's gotta get jobs rolling again, and he's gotta bash the Rethugs until they're seeing stars.

I think he will.

_____________________________

Seems a lot like what happened in MD in 2002, when Kathleen Kennedy Townshend lost to Bob Ehrlich (R) in another unthinkable defeat...Hmmmm....

by oceanstar17 on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 07:59:23 PM PST

For whatever reason the state's Democratic establishment was hostile to her. Along with an inept campaign, biased media coverage against her, and a charismatic Ehrlich, the result was MD electing a Republican to the Governorship for the first time since 1966.

2006 rolled around. Bob Ehrlich fought like hell to win another term, but lost to Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley. Much like Bob Ehrlich, who lost in 2006, expect Scott Brown to lose when the Democrats nominate someone competent. But for the next few political cycles the GOP will get political mileage out of this win.

____________________________

Many of the comments are technically true, but in politics, perception quickly becomes reality...

by puakev on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 08:16:03 PM PST

The fact is, the "repudiation of Dems and Obama" narrative, whether it's actually true or not, soon becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy the more it is repeated which it certainly will be in the coming days, weeks and months leading up to the midterms.

No matter whether it is fair or not, President Obama will be blamed for this loss in MA and he now faces a choice. Scale back his agenda like Clinton in 1994 or double down like FDR in 1935 (when he was losing his liberal base).

I think Obama should double down.

__________________

It doesn't seem like Coakley learned from senior Senator Kerry how to deliver on the campaign trail...

by Noisy Democrat on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 10:00:04 PM PST

When Kerry got a primary challenge from a thoroughly unqualified nobody whose main claim to fame was his record of representing drunk drivers in court and getting them back on the streets -- Kerry campaigned tirelessly. John Kerry made appearances all over Massachusetts. He took the threat very seriously. It seems as if Coakley didn't take Brown nearly as seriously, or she just didn't know how to do retail politics.

___________________

This is worth considering...

by alba on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 09:47:23 PM PST

The Kennedys did campaign for Coakley towards the end but there were so many stories about how displeased the Kennedy family was that she began her campaign for Ted's seat well before his death. And of course Coakley herself rarely mentioned Ted Kennedy during her campaign.

____________________

Spin this any way you want...

by djfm on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 10:44:18 PM PST

the Democratic party right now has no positive identity, nothing that it stands for, nothing that could be put into a mission statement. We're the party for record military budgets, health care "reform" that will make insurance companies even richer, and bailouts for the parasites that have wrecked our economy with little or no help for the millions of suffering unemployed. I will never vote for a Repugnant but it will be hard to vote for a sell-out Democratic party. Peace and prosperity, that's what I want, that's what matters. The Dem party needs to re-boot.

___________________

The Reason this election should be paid attention to...

by Dagoril on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 10:47:08 PM PST

The real reason Coakley lost isn't really that important from a politics perspective.

The narrative that comes out of this will be a disaster. "The Dems couldn't get anything passed with 60 votes in the Senate...how on earth will they get anything done now?"

And the usual morons will be pushing congresscritters even further to the right, convinced that that is what voters want.

We have a broken country. One party refuses to govern, because they think government is literally evil. The other party is incapable of governing, because they don't have the stones to play hardball when necessary. And both parties have the system locked up tight, so that no one new can come in and play ball. Change is needed, yet impossible. It's not going to end well.

________________________

Let's consider what happened in Massachusetts...

by Jose Bidenio on Tue Jan 19, 2010 at 11:04:18 PM PST

Coakley had many primary endorsements from unions and Boston lawmakers including state Auditor Joe DeNucci. That was just the beginning.

Bill Clinton endorsed Martha before the primary and 500K Clinton robo calls went out to voters.

But even before that, I was worried. Shortly after Teddy passed, Coakley made it clear she was interested. Enter stage left: Emily's List and their gobs of dough. That was announced months ago and I was terrified.

This election was lost during the primary. Unfortunately, Capuano was busy making law in DC so he was unable to do much in person campaigning instead doing a few teleconferenced town halls and delegating much of his campaigning to his wife and sons.

Dukakis also endorsed Capuano which might have not been the best thing if you go back and look at the state of the Mass economy and budget when Dukakis left office. How do you think Weld got elected?

And then think about this. Coakley made 19 campaign stops and Brown made 65. What? Who was all around the state hustling the most?

Coakley went on vacation in the Caribbean after winning the primary? What?

Coakley said Catholics shouldn't work in emergency rooms? What?

The other thing is that Brown is not your run-of-the-mill teabagger. Calling him that and viewing him that way allowed him to fly under the radar. Brown is a Lt. Colonel JAG in the Army National Guard (30 years I think). He went to Tufts and BC Law. Not exactly Sarah Palin in the brains category, even if you and I disagree with his politics. He ran a smart campaign. And remember that Scott Brown has never lost an election. Bringing in Flutie and Schilling was a smart move. The truck was a smart move. The guy is funny. He appears to be a nice family man. He reminds me of a rigth-wing Obama to be honest. We shouldn't underestimate him or people like him. If Sarah Palin can be a heartbeat away from the presidency, Scott Brown could be president someday.