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To: David Alan Cook who wrote (175)11/4/1997 4:45:00 AM
From: Dale BakerRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 118717
 
David, you have convinced me that TSSW is worth a small, speculative play. Let me emphasize that I see TSSW as "perceived" or "hoped for" value based on their new products.

The real test comes when the rubber hits the road. What can go wrong? Consumers could find bugs in the program and sales would drop. PC Computing could give the nod to another anti-virus product and leave TSSW's entry to languish. Sales could be lower than hoped for making it harder to recoup development costs. Etc., etc., etc.

These are just the factors we should bear in mind before we plunk down our hard-earned cash. The plus side is that TSSW has received good publicity lately and software is a high margin product once you write off the development and marketing expenses. If there is a "sweet spot" in TSSW's bat, it will be the coming few months.

The electronic support desk concept is probably some ways off from making money. I agree that a substantial contract with BROD or a competitor would help get it launched.

TA - the 1-year weekly MACD shows a possible peak, but the 3-month daily has a clear turnaround indicator. RSI is good but not like the last peak. But I'm no TA expert.

That said, what is your estimate for this quarter and next quarter after following the company so closely?

To avoid MM games, I will put in a limit order at the current ask. Once I have the shares (if I get them that low which is likely) I will keep very tight stops in case there is unexpected news in the conference call or one of the calamities listed above.

My goal here is to make 30-50% in coming weeks. At that point I would take a second look and decide if it is worth holding longer.

Thanks for your contribution, David. Let's hope we get lucky here.