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To: David Aegis who wrote (1288)11/4/1997 12:21:00 AM
From: Ian@SI  Respond to of 2946
 
Lehman coverage of Conference call: Raised estimates. Not much else
new.

Ian.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Headline: Silicon Vy Grp: Strong 4Q Orders; Estimates Raised
Author: Edward C. White, Jr., CFA
Rating: 2
Company: SVGI

Ticker : SVGI Rank(Prev): 2-Outperform Rank(Curr): 2-Outperform
Price : $26 15/16 52wk Range: $38-16 Price Target: $40
Today's Date : 10/31/97
Fiscal Year : SEP
------------------------------------------
EPS 1996 1997 1998 1999
QTR. Actual Prev. Curr. Prev. Curr. Prev. Curr.
1st: 0.54A 0.11A 0.11A 0.40E 0.37E 0.45E 0.51E
2nd: 0.58A 0.14A 0.14A 0.41E 0.41E 0.53E 0.58E
3rd: 0.58A 0.20A 0.20A 0.44E 0.45E 0.61E 0.62E
4th: 0.38A 0.25E 0.26A 0.45E 0.52E 0.66E 0.69E
-------------------------------------------------------------
Year:$ 2.07A $ 0.70E $ 0.73A $ 1.70E $ 1.75E $ 2.25E $ 2.40E
Street Est.: $ 0.70E $ 0.71E $ 1.77E $ 1.76E $ 3.60E $ 2.78E
----------------------------------------------------------------
Price (As of 10/29): $26 15/16 Revenue (1998): 789.0 Mil.
Return On Equity (97): 9.5 % Proj. 5yr EPS Grth: 22.0 %
Shares Outstanding: 32.2 Mil. Dividend Yield: Nil
Mkt Capitalization: 867.40 Mil. P/E 1998; 1999 : 15.4 X; 11.2 X
Current Book Value: $17.53 /sh Convertible: None
Debt-to-Capital: 0 % Disclosure(s): C
----------------------------------------------------------------

* Silicon Valley Group reported 4Q EPS of $0.26, slightly above our
$0.25 estimate. Orders of $205.7 mill. represented a new record.
Micrascan orders are strong, and we are raising our FY98 EPS estimate
to $1.75 from $1.70.

* SVG shipped 12 Micrascan units, produced an in-house unit, and
refurbished a unit. Micrascan orders totaled 35 units, of which 16
were for shipment within the next 12 months.

* The Thermco division had lower revenues and a book-to-bill ratio
over 1.00. The track division had better revenues, and a book-to-bill
ratio modestly below 1.00. These areas should fare better in FY '98
than they have recently.

* The gross margin increased meaningfully in the quarter, as a result
of higher revenue volume, and better margins in lithography. The
outlook calls for modest margin improvement early in FY98, and more in
the second half.

* This was a solid quarter for the company. Silicon Valley Group
continues to make progress in booking Microlithography orders for the
future (75 units are currently on order), and in building its
manufacturing capacity.



To: David Aegis who wrote (1288)11/4/1997 1:10:00 PM
From: FJB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2946
 
David,

Thank you for taking the time to further clarify 50 bay/3 month cycle time issue. I'm wondering if a three month cycle time is possible for step and scan machines. This doesn't seem like a realistic goal to me considering they now take over 40 weeks to build.

Bob