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Politics : The Obama - Clinton Disaster -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Wayners who wrote (25336)	1/28/2010 6:16:30 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™	2 Recommendations Respond to of 103300

obumble puts reid to sleep... realclearpolitics.com GZ

To: Wayners who wrote (25336)	1/28/2010 2:04:29 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof	Respond to of 103300

Re: "That's great...what's the error percentage in their estimate? That number is so low and taking into account statistical error, I wouldn't promptly say the recession is over." I'm with you on that one! With a "0.1%" increase in GDP for Great Britain in the last quarter of 2009, (and after six straight quarters of recession!), I wouldn't be all full of warm and fuzzy feelings either that there recession was now "over". <g> Still, short-term statistics are usually all full of noise and semi-random fluctuations (and probably subject to government 'seasonal adjustments' and similar crap), so it probably BEST to mostly only base actions on what rolling averages tell us the reality is. And there, (with the rolling average), I'd expect that the data probably shows that the recession in G.B. has been moderating (steepness of the decline has been rounding off, hopefully preparatory to turning up again!) for a while now. After all, a year and a half of straight recession is getting out to the edges of the normal average length for recessions....