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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James Hutton who wrote (237208)1/29/2010 2:45:58 PM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
<Copper finally got slapped around in the past few days, but it's trend still looks up. >

It's all one trade. It's just a matter of time there as well. However, looking at stuff like PCU, it appears that while the metal itself has held up OK, the stocks of the producers have already been hammered. I suppose the stocks lead the metal, just like gold? Perhaps a short on the metal would be wise.

BC



To: James Hutton who wrote (237208)1/29/2010 2:59:19 PM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Again, with the July-August 2008 deja vu - let's look at copper vs. the producers. Stocks led by about a month. The metal didn't fall to pieces until almost October, whereas the stocks were on the skids in late July:

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It also has parallels to late 2007, since we haven't had much of any topping process yet. Obviously history doesn't repeat, so I guess I'm just going to be a little "conservative" and wait for some kind of bounce before I get too excited about leaning harder on the short side.

`BC