SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : S3 (A LONGER TERM PERSPECTIVE) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: FRED TABBAL who wrote (7203)11/3/1997 10:42:00 PM
From: Dom Sartorio  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14577
 
The issue isn't overall revenue, it's trust in management.
The fact that total revenue at the end of the fiscal year won't
be much different is almost irrelevant. What's relevant is that
either the operational controls within S3 are so poor so as to
result in numbers being off by this much, or management was outright
lying regarding previous earnings estimates. Think about it...
would you invest your money in a company where either one of these
(or maybe both?) was true? At the very least,
either way results in us investors (individual and institutional)
not knowing what to believe regarding the future prospects of this
company, especially mgmt's forward-looking statements and future biz
plans. Stock investing is risky enough without having to worry
about the competence or honesty of management. Why would somebody
invest in a stock with this additional element of risk? i.e. Right now
I don't know what to believe, so I'll put my money where this isn't
an issue.

Some food for thought..
1. If I were an institutional investor, I'd be thinking "how the heck
do I get out of this stock, and how do I get my biggest clients out,
and minimize my loss?" Might some institutions try to "talk up" the
stock as they try to get out? If this happens I'll sell on any
uptick in stock price.

2. Regarding distributors selling in Q4.. the press release seems to
assume that distributors will sell their inventory in Q4, so S3 can
book this revenue in Q4. I sincerely question this. This is very
similar to what happened to IFMX when they had to restate earnings..
distributors ended up never resell the goods.. could same thing
happen to S3?

3. I'm sure Gary is on the hot seat now. This kind of thing should
never happen, and I'm sure the board realizes this.

Looking for exit point, and wondering whether to take capital loss
deduction this year or next,
DOM