To: Carolyn who wrote (347210 ) 2/4/2010 2:51:51 PM From: KLP 2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793964 Murray in trouble in WA? Don't know...but here's what I found...(we can always hope for change, can't we??? She is just a total mess! But the Dems love her....Typical ) Murray in trouble in WA? posted at 12:55 pm on January 29, 2010 by Ed Morrissey Until today, Senator Patty Murray (D-WA) seemed safe from the backlash gathering against Democrats. No Republican has managed to win a statewide election for either Governor or Senator in more than a decade, and Washington is a safely liberal cog in the Left Coast machine. However, according to a new poll among registered voters, Murray trails Dino Rossi, who lost two close elections to Governor Christine Gregoire: In what is becoming a familiar refrain for Dems, Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) could be facing a tough re-election fight, according to a new poll released today by a GOP survey firm. The poll, conducted by OR-based Moore Information (R), shows Murray trailing two-time GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) in a hypothetical matchup. Rossi, Moore Information pollsters Bob Moore and Hans Kaiser note, is the state’s best-known GOPer, though he has not been mentioned as a potential candidate against Murray. Rossi has lost two close elections to Gov. Chris Gregiore (D); he notably declined to run in ‘06 against Sen. Maria Cantwell (D) to challenge a second time Gregoire in ‘08. Moore Information surveyed 500 WA registered voters on Jan. 23 and 24, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. There is no word on the partisan split in the sample. Interestingly, their poll shows a 35/35 split on a generic Congressional ballot among Washington voters, which is better news than Democrats hear nationwide. However, the voters do have a preference for Republicans in order to put a check on Barack Obama’s agenda rather than Democrats to advance it, 45%/39%. That shows a lack of enthusiasm for the Obama-Pelosi agenda in a state that should be more sympathetic to it. Independent voters are once again the key to the election. They support Rossi, assuming he enters the race, by 17 points. Rossi also has better base enthusiasm, with even moderate Republicans supporting him in the high 80s. Democratic moderates are more likely to cross over — and perhaps less likely to vote at all. Rossi only narrowly lost both of his statewide elections to Gregoire, including a 2004 election that prompted a turbulent and messy recount in which Rossi lost an Election Day lead. He already knows what it takes to challenge Democrats in Washington, and this year the winds would finally be at his back.hotair.com 8888888888888Does Mass. upset spell trouble for Patty Murray? A Republican was elected to Teddy Kennedy's U.S. Senate seat in Massachusetts Tuesday night. The result - unthinkable just two weeks ago - has the Democrats scrambling on everything from health care reform to November's midterm elections. In Washington the question will be asked: Should Patty Murray be worried? Murray is the state's senior senator. The Democrat will be trying for her fourth term this fall. Murray Here are three reasons why Murray shouldn't fret: • Murray isn't Martha Coakley: Coakley, the Massachusetts attorney general and Democratic candidate for Senate, committed a cardinal sin for politicians - she took the voters for granted. Her campaign slowed down in the final weeks and failed to use the party's natural advantages in one of the bluest of blue states, Politico reports. Murray won't do that. She's a good campaigner and has never really lost that "mom in tennis shoes" image that propelled her to D.C. so many years ago. She has appeal beyond Seattle. • The GOP is weak in Washington state: Yes, I know, it's not like the Republicans are strong in Massachusetts and they just won. But they beat a poor candidate with someone - Scott Brown - who ran a better, grass roots campaign. Can Washington Republicans replicate that? They have one elected official - just one - who could credibly challenge for a Senate seat right now, Attorney General Rob McKenna. And all indications are that he's aiming for 2012. • Ten months is a long time in politics: The atmosphere right now is particularly bad for Democrats. Whatever happens in the health care debate, it will be over by the time Evergreen State voters go to the polls in November. A bill will either have been passed or defeated and the political debate will have shifted to include other things. ... and three reasons why she should: • An anti-incumbent tide can sweep a lot of people out of office:. Democrats have lost three straight statewide elections - Virginia, New Jersey and Massachusetts. Washington voters may be feeling antsy, too, and tossing Murray out of office would be their way to express that. In 1994 the GOP revolution led by Newt Gingrich captured the House from Democrats. The biggest casualty - House Speaker Tom Foley, the Spokane Democrat whose defeat shocked politicos across the country. Foley got caught in the tide. • Brown's victory could spur a formidable GOP candidate to challenge Murray: See above. Will McKenna jump into the race? It's highly unlikely but maybe a state legislator could test the waters. Make no mistake, Republicans will be on the lookout and McKenna's phone will ring. NBC's Chuck Todd, a trenchant political observer, on Tuesday night said Murray might be one of the Democratic incumbents who might now face a tougher opponent as a result of the Bay State cyclone. • Fourth terms are hard to come by: Heck, it's tough to get elected to a third term. blog.seattlepi.com