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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (108053)2/8/2010 8:14:53 AM
From: Paxb2u  Respond to of 116555
 
Guess they will have to get it right before the census data comes out. They would have to be some what close, No ? Peace



To: mishedlo who wrote (108053)2/8/2010 10:20:16 AM
From: rich evans  Respond to of 116555
 
Both the payroll and household surveys are needed for a complete picture of the labor market. The
payroll survey provides a highly reliable gauge of monthly change in nonfarm payroll employment.
The household survey provides a broader picture of employment including agriculture and the self
employed.
Latest trends in payroll and household survey employment
S easonally adjusted, numbers in thousands
1 Payroll survey estimates for December 2009 and January 2010 are preliminary and subject to revision.
2 The effects of population control revisions in January 2000 and January of 2003-10 have been smoothed out in the
historical household survey employment estimates used here; thus, the changes shown above will differ from those
calculated using the official estimates in the Employment Situation and in the public database available on the BLS
w ebsite. See Appendix for further explanation.
3 This is a research series created from household survey employment to be more similar in concept and definition to
payroll survey employment. Household survey employment is adjusted by subtracting agriculture and related
employment, nonagricultural self employed, unpaid family and private household workers, and workers absent without
pay from their jobs, and then adding nonagricultural wage and salary multiple jobholders. The effects of population
c ontrol revisions also have been smoothed out in the historical data in this series.
4 The Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) has designated
December 2007 as the most recent business cycle peak. NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that
began in December 2007.
Reference period
Payroll survey
employment 1
Household survey
employment 2
Adjusted household
survey employment 3
Over-the-month change
December 2009-January 2010
-20 785
841
Over-the-year change
January 2009-2010
-4,022 -3,660
-4,031
Since the business cycle peak 4
December 2007-January 2010 -8,424 -6,670
-6,786