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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gib Bogle who wrote (72426)2/8/2010 4:52:36 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Gib, I can only deal in the facts. I was right. In science, what we do is create hypotheses and theories then test those against reality by making predictions.

If the predictions match reality, then that's evidence that the theory is not false, though it is not conclusive evidence that it is correct. The old correlation and causation principle fools many purported so-called scientists and more so the journalists who report the scientists' work.

My sun-spot predictions were right, my climate predictions were right, my climate theory from the 1980s is right, my Earth Is Not In Balance theory is right and Al Gore's Earth in the Balance is wrong, heck, even my gold price prediction was perfectly on target to 4 significant figures for 31 December 2009 [from a year previously].

Admittedly not all my predictions have been perfect. Unfortunately, my Y2K Globalstar prediction was bung and my money went to money heaven.

Predicting is such fun. Potentially profitable too. It's also handy to avoid tsunamis, volcanoes, house price crashes, NZ$ crashes, financial relativity theory black holes, insurrection and carnage. With umpty$trillion going up in smoke, that's a lot of livelihoods affected in a way that the individuals concerned will be displeased about. Sometimes disaffected people who go broke get behaviourly disturbed and start marching and shouting for action ... such as Sieg Heil...

Mqurice



To: Gib Bogle who wrote (72426)2/9/2010 1:13:44 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Sometimes you sound just like the Brazilian try-hard.

Yes, that is why I rated MQ the Nugget man. You have to sift his ore to find some nuggets of wisdom.



To: Gib Bogle who wrote (72426)2/9/2010 1:25:01 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
"bunch of snake oil science" Palin likens global warming studies to 'snake oil'Monday during a rare appearance in California, a state that has been at the forefront of environmental regulations

mercurynews.com

This is my girl! This is my girl!