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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DebtBomb who wrote (27034)2/13/2010 4:24:33 PM
From: LTK0071 Recommendation  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 71464
 
This gives a chance to express TSR's novel view of the rally off of SPX666(hmm--666:), they presented a chat going back to 1925, i took a view i have not heard expressed elsewhere, ad that this rally is The Last Gasp ending of a bull market that states back to 1982/1983.
They state the roler coaster since t6he collap-se of 2000 was merely the process of the Bull Market ending, and this rally now is The Last Gasp of what will be looooongterm Bear Market, the ion the looooooong run will track all the way back to 1982 lows--it could take a decade or more, but that is the direction
Their primary reasoning to why is they believe strongly and ARGUE in detail, that This Is The Sunset of The West(they include europe in the term "The West".
But i remain a pramatist, i know they will fight this collapse tooth and nail and they should not be underestimated, as the stakes are massive.
This fact of those at battle to hold this market is NOT factored into old era TA dogmatism--TA knows nothing about relentless policies to hold up an inflated market--and how massively the market place has changed.
DOW 500o THIS year?? There MUST be a catalyst, something that SCARES the hell out of investors.

We are getting into the zone of "The Black Swan", this will require a WATERFALL down movement, i am trying the impossible to see a signal, i have not seen the signal, and WELL might never see the signal as it will come like a lightning bolt from a Blue Sky, something the Masters of The Financial world CAN'T dismiss, can't print print print to counter, and to re-inflate the stock market.
i will reiterate Marc Faber as we think alike on this, and it is his saying the true collapse could occur tomorrow, but then it may be 5 years.
Why this view, tommorrow, or 5 years from now---the powers have a skilled juggler juggling bottles of liquid nitro-glycerine, but each passing month another bottle is added.
The harder and harder to keep one from having one hitting the hard ground, -- butthat moment WILL happen, a bottle shatters and all EXPLODES, but i refrain from pretending that i know when, in all of history NO one has discovered a crystal ball to the moment.
When WWI occurred, and Nassim Taleb, with his ever HUGE scholarship(people need know Taleb is scholar of the highest order) no one saw it happening---but thousands and thousands and thousands said they did see it coming, but funny problem, they all said that AFTER it happened NOT before--Taleb is big on "Experts" LIE to keep up the notion they actually know what is going on.
By the way Taleb does NOT view what commenced in September 2008, as a Black Swan, he said, with modesty, that even he saw it coming

Will Kyrosaki be right, Taleb will say, by the laws a RANDOM CHANCE, he might nail it, but he can document how those that made a correct call of a sudden crash made quite a number more incorrect calls.

i remain seeing the machines still have control, i remain DEMANDING a plunge BELOW the SPXDaily 200ema--a break below 1015 would suffice to tell me the mjachines are losing control.
Max:)