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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JakeStraw who wrote (80587)3/8/2010 3:36:00 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224748
 
The smart money says the bill will pass. 54% on Intrade.



To: JakeStraw who wrote (80587)3/8/2010 3:38:26 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 224748
 
our current trend estimate, based on all the available surveys, shows opposition leading support by eight percentage point (51% to 43%). If just 1 voter in 25 shifts from opposition to support, our estimate would show Americans evenly divided on the issue. I'm not predicting that will happen, just pointing out that it will not take a huge shift to bring these measurements to something fairly characterized as division rather than "deep" unpopularity.

pollster.com