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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (240419)3/10/2010 12:28:08 AM
From: Archie MeetiesRespond to of 306849
 
Somewhere in there is a post where some of us were trying to short RMBS in 1999. -ng-

In any case retail has been on the sidelines during most of this rally.

Consumer sentiment still very weak.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (240419)3/10/2010 12:29:21 AM
From: Cactus JackRespond to of 306849
 
patron,

Did you see Myth's response?

siliconinvestor.com

Those were the days. <G>

jpg



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (240419)3/10/2010 12:30:35 AM
From: joseffyRespond to of 306849
 
50% rate will make London the tax capital of the world

dailymail.co.uk



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (240419)3/10/2010 1:59:45 AM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 306849
 
<DiTech has ads on CNBC every 30 seconds for 125% home loans so you can invest in home improvement (yeah right, thats why the ads are on cnbc)>

And yet we got razzed for discussing the concept of a real estate bubble then. My biggest mistake was in not remembering that it is *rational* to play along with a bubble in its early days. I managed to do it in stocks up until late 1999, but blew it when it came to real estate.

<and at that point, they'll start confiscating gold and cancelling out short trades, so there's no way you can make money on the short side anyway.

Just give it up, you chumps, buy the damn calls. There is no way this will end profitably for anyone who doesn't join the mania.>

Boy was that eerily prophetic given the eventual short sale ban.

The dumbfounding thing to me is that TEN YEARS LATER we are no further along the road to unwinding the bubble than back then. They just keep trying to shift the assets underlying the credit hindenburg to a different sector.

Doesn't matter whether its stocks, houses, or commodities, a credit bubble is a credit bubble is a credit bubble. All prior bubbles have ended badly:

en.wikipedia.org

`BC