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Politics : A US National Health Care System? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (14380)3/11/2010 2:04:01 PM
From: Peter Dierks2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42652
 
The curent CBO letter states that it does not have enough information based on the changes to the original Senate bill. The CBO letter on the first bill said in the notes that it relied upon hundreds of billions of dollars in future reductions.

For example Congress separated the annual doctor fix from the healthcare bill.

A careful reading of the evidence suggests that the Baucus bill will add as much as $376 billion to the federal deficit through 2019. And that figure understates the full impact of the bill on the budget. If the big-spending parts of the proposal started next year rather than in 2014, the fiscal damage would be much greater.

...

Democrats in the House decided to end the charade by permanently granting fee increases to physicians at a 10-year cost of nearly $230 billion. Sen. Baucus accepted responsibility only for the usual one-year fix, at a cost of almost $11 billion. That means he is being credited with $218 billion in savings at which future Congresses will chip away, a year at a time.

There is another $240 billion in cuts to hospitals, home care providers, nursing facilities and hospices that are destined to go the way of those physician fee savings. If none of those reductions are implemented, Medicare spending will increase $458 billion over the next decade, and the deficit will grow by $376 billion.

These budget games are so obvious that the CBO blew the whistle--but scored the savings anyway. The CBO scores bills as they are written, without trying to second-guess Congress even when there is plenty of reason to do so. The agency explained that their estimates assume that the proposals are enacted and remain unchanged over the next two decades. In a masterpiece of understatement, the CBO pointed out that such provisions are often over-ridden by future Congresses.


Message 26041121



To: Road Walker who wrote (14380)3/12/2010 10:29:05 AM
From: Lane31 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42652
 
The CBO head has a blog. Well worth following.

cboblog.cbo.gov