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To: Sonki who wrote (12802)11/4/1997 8:31:00 PM
From: Mitchel S. Untracht  Respond to of 27012
 
i have mentioned in previous posts green tree and conseco. excellent selections. love travelers but missed boat on re-entry at 65.

as far as drugs and medical cos. - i am a doctor and do not own any drug or medical equiptment cos. at this time. companies like medtronic are fantastic, but if i had real courage i would short it, since there is no way you can justify it's lofty valuation. i agree that there is a growing population that will be dependent on drugs. however, issues re: patent expiration that exist with merck are real. pfizer and warner-lambert great companies, terrible valuations.

presently, i play the following game - when a great company, that often is given a high multiple, sells off for reasons such as currency issues, issues not related to the fundamentals of the company i like to get in cheap. one example where this has worked well this year is boston scientfic.

i have a drip with jnj as they are a hybrid multinational with a strong presence in the medical field. there products are used everyday in many ways in all hospitals, outpatient areas and offices. they produce drugs, and all types of medical equiptment. they to have a lofty valuation and as a result am not interested in timing a big purchase, hence the drip.

with all the issues in asia and europe, and the lack of reasonable valuations in the pharmaceuticals, i have recently been looking at drug stores. although great competition exists, companies like walgreens seem allow one to benefit from the increase use in prescriptions drugs as well as enter the retail sector in one stock selection IMO



To: Sonki who wrote (12802)11/4/1997 8:31:00 PM
From: Mitchel S. Untracht  Respond to of 27012
 
i have mentioned in previous posts green tree and conseco. excellent selections. love travelers but missed boat on re-entry at 65.

as far as drugs and medical cos. - i am a doctor and do not own any drug or medical equiptment cos. at this time. companies like medtronic are fantastic, but if i had real courage i would short it, since there is no way you can justify it's lofty valuation. i agree that there is a growing population that will be dependent on drugs. however, issues re: patent expiration that exist with merck are real. pfizer and warner-lambert great companies, terrible valuations.

presently, i play the following game - when a great company, that often is given a high multiple, sells off for reasons such as currency issues, issues not related to the fundamentals of the company i like to get in cheap. one example where this has worked well this year is boston scientfic.

i have a drip with jnj as they are a hybrid multinational with a strong presence in the medical field. there products are used everyday in many ways in all hospitals, outpatient areas and offices. they produce drugs, and all types of medical equiptment. they to have a lofty valuation and as a result am not interested in timing a big purchase, hence the drip.

with all the issues in asia and europe, and the lack of reasonable valuations in the pharmaceuticals, i have recently been looking at drug stores. although great competition exists, companies like walgreens seem allow one to benefit from the increase use in prescriptions drugs as well as enter the retail sector in one stock selection IMO



To: Sonki who wrote (12802)11/4/1997 8:39:00 PM
From: Mitchel S. Untracht  Respond to of 27012
 
hate to say it. but if you want a safe, minimum 15% going forward, would take a long hard look at Phillip Morris. i know all the negatives. so does the street and it is reflected in it's price. with 4% dividend looks better play next 6-12 months than any drug or large cap tech that i can think of at this time



To: Sonki who wrote (12802)11/5/1997 7:53:00 PM
From: Mitchel S. Untracht  Respond to of 27012
 
wish i had listened to myself and bought boston scientific this a.m. as i mentioned in my post with regard to pharm.stocks. i terms of value would rather buy boeing today than cisco. intc is getting very interesting, hoping in trends into the 65-70 range.