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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hawkmoon who wrote (61944)3/13/2010 3:43:28 PM
From: KyrosL1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217976
 
The problem with Jubak's analysis is that Chinese local government debt backs actual investments from power plants to real estate. In the US such investment resides in private companies and is supported by private company debt.

Therefore, the figure of 75% of Chinese debt to GDP is not comparable to the USA projected 90% public debt to GDP this year. The comparable US figure should include a lot of private company debt.

A better figure for a country's overall indebtedness should compare the total country debt to GDP -- government, company, household. On that score, the US has no peer, with that ratio being around 350%, primarily because of its heavy household indebtedness. The Chinese, with their very low household debt, beat us by many miles.