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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Grommit who wrote (37077)3/26/2010 12:13:33 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78697
 
Grommit. Yes, also sold a little GOV past two days. I currently hold a little PEG with an early March ('10) buy. Stock's down a bit. I'll check to see if I'll take a little more.

Your portfolio now almost entirely in stocks that pay distributions? I don't see any common stocks like oil/gas, consumer, etc. That a planned defensive move?



To: Grommit who wrote (37077)3/26/2010 12:34:23 PM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 78697
 
PEG. Yes, I'll up my position a bit at current price.



To: Grommit who wrote (37077)3/31/2010 4:22:40 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78697
 
Fwiw, I sold a bit more GOV today.

Also some ABT. I'm going to try to add back if these stocks drop in price.

Added just a very few shares of VSEC to the few I already have.

To park some cash, I took on some more PHB.

finance.yahoo.com



To: Grommit who wrote (37077)7/8/2010 8:08:27 PM
From: E_K_S1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78697
 
Hi Grommit -

Re: Empire District Electric Co. (EDE)

One of my larger dividend plays, I hedged 1/2 of my position today selling the Dec $20 calls for $0.65/share. I also should receive two dividend payments of $0.32/share per quarter (September 3rd Qtr & December 4th Qtr). The 2010 analysts estimates would give a 15.6 PE at $20.00/share and for 2011 the PE would be 13.8. This is getting a bit high for my comfort zone especially since Yahoo has the EDE dividend payout ratio at 106% (this is based on lagging earnings).

The company did get approval for a July 2010 rate increase for their Kansas electric customers but I believe it was only 60% of what they had asked. There are pending rate approvals in process to accelerate the recovery of capital improvement projects which will help further support the current divided. However, I do not see the company increasing their dividend any time soon.

Therefore, by writing the December $20 calls, I can increase my overall return by 6% and if the stock gets called away, it becomes a source of funds for reinvestment.

With a 7% dividend yield, a 6% call premium generated from writing the covered calls and a 11% potential capital gain based on my avg cost (if the stock is called away at $20.00/share), I can lock in a 22% return on one half of my EDE position by December 17, 2010. I may even be able to write the calls again after December 17, 2010 to further enhance my overall return.

In the current environment, I prefer to stay in good paying utility companies (both regulated & unregulated) with PE's at 11 or lower with overall debt levels supported by current cash flows and/or non strategic assets that could be sold to reduce debt if required (eg. NG reserves owned by unregulated division of a utility, wholly owned NG pipeline subsidiary similar to what EDE owns & operates etc.).

I think it pays to be on the defense in this environment. It's still not absolutely clear to me that a double dip can be avoided.

EKS