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Technology Stocks : American Automobile Industry: Can it survive? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (305)3/31/2010 7:52:25 AM
From: robert b furman  Respond to of 431
 
Good Points.

Before a car has universal appeal it must be able to go west coast to the east coast.

Other than that - it is a niche back up type vehicle and will not result in a final answer to less oil consumption.

The same is true with natural gas big rigs and/or hydrogen vehicles.

The are only a niche solution until there is the infrastructure to make them complete alternatives.

JMHO

Bob



To: stockman_scott who wrote (305)7/2/2010 8:39:08 PM
From: Glenn Petersen  Respond to of 431
 
G.M. Aims for I.P.O. Filing in August

By MICHAEL J. de la MERCED and NICK BUNKLEY
New York Times
July 2, 2010

General Motors is aiming to file an initial public offering of stock in mid-August, taking its biggest step yet toward repaying the federal government, people briefed on the matter said on Friday.

The company, which emerged from bankruptcy last July, is also seeking a $5 billion credit line, these people said, cautioning that the specific terms and the amounts that various banks would contribute has yet to be determined.

A mid-August filing would put G.M. on track to go public by the end of the year, a timeline the company has already hinted is its goal. The automaker has selected Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase as the lead underwriters for the offering, people briefed on the matter have said previously. The Treasury Department has hired the investment bank Lazard as an adviser.

“I can’t have a date, but I think this is a good year to do it if we can get everything done,” Edward E. Whitacre Jr., G.M.’s chief executive, told reporters in Texas on Thursday, according to Reuters. “I think it’s a great year.”

G.M. and the federal government have sought to stage an offering as soon as is practical, though both have said that the company would ultimately determine when to go public. Through its sponsorship of G.M.’s quick-rinse bankruptcy last summer — including more than $50 billion in loans — the Treasury Department holds a roughly 61 percent stake in the company.

The government would like to reduce its stake significantly to become a minority shareholder, and G.M. also wishes to raise money, possibly creating one of the biggest offerings in recent years. The company has declined to comment on the possible valuation.

The final details will depend in part on market conditions, and the recent whipsaws in the market have made a big offering somewhat risky.

“Our stakeholders obviously will want it to be successful, so we’ll do our best to project the best timing for that,” said Noreen Pratscher, a G.M. spokeswoman.

Rebecca Lindland, an automotive analyst with the research firm IHS Automotive, said access to additional credit is important to make sure G.M. can weather any bumps in the economic recovery or its own turnaround. She added that the Ford Motor Company’s decision to borrow $23 billion in 2006 allowed it to avoid bankruptcy.

“We’ve seen that cash is not always easy to get, and there’s a level of weakness that everyone’s sort of feeling in the economy,” Ms. Lindland said. “It’s a good idea just to have it in their back pocket if they need it. I see it as a little bit of an insurance policy for them.”

Ms. Pratscher declined to comment on any talks with lenders. “Securing a credit revolver is a prudent thing to do,” she said.

On Thursday, automakers reported that new-vehicle sales in the United States fell 10 percent from May, raising concerns about how well the market is recovering. G.M.’s sales were 12 percent higher than a year ago, but 13 percent lower than the previous month.

Still, G.M. officials say the company is making great progress. Its four active brands in the United States — Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac and GMC — sold 12 percent more vehicles in the first half of 2010 than the company did with eight brands in the first half of 2009.

Mr. Whitacre told analysts at a gathering this week that the pre-bankruptcy G.M. was “overly complicated” and “hamstrung by a tendency to overanalyze and overthink even the smallest decisions.

G.M.’s ability to perform today is in large part the result of changing that culture, he said.

At the same event, G.M.’s chief financial officer, Christopher P. Liddell, laid out goals of eliminating the company’s debt and returning to a “strong investment-grade” credit rating. He said G.M. can make money — and did to the tune of $865 million in the first quarter, its first profit since 2007 — at lower volumes because its operations are so much more efficient now.

“It’s a fundamentally different company in terms of its break-even point,” Mr. Liddell said. “What’s new about the new G.M.? Really everything.”

nytimes.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (305)7/22/2010 1:24:28 PM
From: Glenn Petersen1 Recommendation  Respond to of 431
 
In the first half of this year, G.M.’s China sales rose 48.5 percent over the same period last year, and for the first time ever, the automaker sold more vehicles in China than in the United States. Just 13 years after entering China, G.M. now says the country accounts for a quarter of its global sales — blistering growth that even G.M. did not expect this soon.

G.M., Eclipsed at Home, Soars to Top in China

By DAVID BARBOZA and NICK BUNKLEY
New York Times
July 21, 2010

SHANGHAI — A decade ago, this city had five car dealerships selling Buicks, the top-selling General Motors brand in China. Today it has 27.

And the crowds of shoppers that fill many of them are young, ready to pay cash and not inclined to haggle over the sticker price.

As G.M. prepares a public stock offering later this year, China is emerging as a crucial piece of its appeal to potential investors — and a surprising down payment of sorts for American taxpayers, who would begin shrinking their 61 percent equity stake in the company.

In the first half of this year, G.M.’s China sales rose 48.5 percent over the same period last year, and for the first time ever, the automaker sold more vehicles in China than in the United States. Just 13 years after entering China, G.M. now says the country accounts for a quarter of its global sales — blistering growth that even G.M. did not expect this soon.

“China’s a big piece of the value of the company,” said Stephen J. Girsky, G.M.’s vice chairman for corporate strategy and business development. “And since we pull cash out of China, it helps fund investments in other parts of the company as well.”

Analysts estimate G.M. is worth $50 billion to $90 billion, with China accounting for about $15 billion of that total. The United States government converted about $43 billion of aid to G.M. into its equity stake, which is expected to be sold off over time after the company is publicly traded. A valuation above $70 billion or so would allow the government to earn a profit on its stake.

Through joint ventures with China’s S.A.I.C. Motor Corporation and other local manufacturers, G.M. is this country’s largest vehicle manufacturer, accounting for about 13 percent of the nation’s fragmented car market. Its product line aims to cover the broad spectrum of needs, like the $5,000 Wuling Sunshine, a barebones minivan wildly popular in rural areas, and the luxurious Cadillacs that can be seen in the wealthy neighborhoods of Beijing.

This week, G.M. announced plans to create a seventh brand to sell small passenger cars. In the United States, G.M. is down to just four brands, after shedding Pontiac, Saab, Saturn and Hummer during its bankruptcy.

“This is not some sort of flash-in-the-pan investment strategy,” said Michael Robinet, an analyst with the research firm IHS Automotive. “During the bankruptcy process, G.M. China was the beacon in the night that G.M. always had in its back pocket, and China will be a vital cog in G.M.’s machine going forward.”

G.M. said it earned about $400 million from its China joint ventures in the first quarter of this year, when it earned a total of $1.2 billion outside of North America and Europe. Its total corporate profit for the quarter was $865 million because of losses and other costs elsewhere.

While GM’s fast-growing China operations are helping to offset the automaker’s problems in the United States, it ultimately will need to do better on its home turf to restore its financial health. On that score, G.M. earned a first-quarter profit of $1.2 billion in North America, after losing $3.4 billion the previous quarter, but its market share in the United States so far this year is down from 2009. Analysts said G.M.’s overall prospects still hinge more than anything else on its North American operations being healthy, because that is where it can generate the most income.

The company’s success in China has been helped by the fact that Chinese consumers do not have the skepticism about G.M. that is commonly seen in the United States. In China, many shoppers know little about cars and go to a dealer for guidance.

“What we offer is accepted at face value,” said Kevin Wale, the president of G.M. China. “We don’t carry any baggage, basically. We get treated for what we deliver.”

G.M. officials say no American taxpayer money has been used to expand in China, though a Chinese government stimulus program that encouraged sales of clean vehicles and helped farmers and other rural residents buy vehicles has fueled consumer demand here.

Buick is the company’s star. Favored by China’s last emperor, Buick is perceived as sumptuous and stylish, a contrast with its staid image among many Americans. G.M. sold nearly half a million Buicks here last year, almost five times the brand’s sales in the United States.

“I was so fascinated by the shape of this car,” said Xu Tianpei, who bought a Buick Regal at the Yongda dealership in Shanghai for 230,000 renminbi ($34,000), including taxes and insurance. “

Shen Hui, the general manager at the Shanghai Yongda Buick dealership, said discounted prices were a rarity because of the psychology of the Chinese car market, which for many years evolved around scarcity.

“People will not buy if the price is discounted because they think it will fall even further later on,” he said. “But when there is no discount and tight supply, they will worry that there won’t be any cars left.”

G.M. expects to sell more than three million cars and trucks in China annually by 2015; from January to June of this year it sold 1.2 million vehicles, versus 1.08 million in the United States. G.M.s sales in China in the first half of 2010 were quadruple those of the Ford Motor Company.

G.M. has been a part of the American industrial landscape for more than a century, but it has been in China only since 1997.

Still, that was early in the development of China’s consumer market for cars and trucks, which has given G.M. an advantage over rivals that only began arriving after it became clear how quickly demand was rising.

G.M. has for years been heavily focused on investing in China and other emerging markets, and it has been introducing some vehicles, like the Buick LaCrosse and Chevrolet Cruze sedans, in China before the United States and other countries.

In addition, G.M. has greatly enlarged its engineering and design work force in China. It is building the country’s largest proving grounds and broke ground this week on a $250 million advanced technology center to research batteries and other alternative energy sources.

G.M.’s hourly work force in China has grown to 32,000 people at 10 factories, including its joint ventures, while its American operations have shrunk to 52,000 hourly employees from a peak of 468,000 in 1979.

Tim Dunne, director of global automotive operations at the research firm J. D. Power & Associates, said China’s huge population did not guarantee success for automakers but that G.M. had been done well because of its focus on meeting consumers’ tastes.

“You’re talking about one of the most competitive markets in the world,” Mr. Dunne said. “They’ve surpassed my expectations. They marshaled resources into China and made sure they did it the right way.”

Mr. Wale, the president of G.M. China, admittedly has very different concerns from his counterparts in Detroit. As the company’s sales were falling 30 percent in the United States in 2008 and 2009, they were surging 67 percent in China.

But while rapid growth is the better of the two problems to have, the consequences of any missteps in China can reverberate throughout G.M. worldwide.

“If you’re not ready and you miss the market growth, then you miss it for a long time,” Mr. Wale said.

David Barboza reported from Shanghai and Nick Bunkley from Detroit. Bao Beibei contributed research.

nytimes.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (305)7/25/2010 8:23:09 AM
From: Glenn Petersen  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 431
 
After bailouts, new autoworkers make half as much as veterans in same plant

By Peter Whoriskey
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, July 25, 2010; A01

DETROIT -- Among workers building the Jeep Grand Cherokee here, there are few obvious distinctions. Clutching lunch sacks and mini-coolers, they trudge together through the turnstiles at the plant's main gate each day to tinker with the same vehicles, along the same assembly line, performing the same tasks.

Yet they fall into distinctly unequal classes: About half make $28 an hour or more, while the rest, the recently hired, make $14.

This oddity, which could become the norm in much of the domestic U.S. auto industry, arises from the jury-rigged labor agreement that the United Auto Workers, U.S. automakers and the federal government reached during the industry's near-death experience last year.

Now the revival of the U.S. industry depends on a compromise that some on all sides quietly acknowledge is divisive, among other things, and probably cannot last.

"How would you feel if you were on the line humpin' and bumpin' all day and the guy next to you gets twice the pay? How would you feel toward that person?" asked Dale Hunt, a veteran tradesman at the plant and former president of the union local. "Of course there is going to be animosity."

What factory workers should earn became a central part of Washington's prolonged debate over the bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler, pitting the advocates of the free market against those for a "fair wage." Although cutting labor costs was viewed by many as essential to the companies' recovery, the issue was never fully resolved.

Under pressure from the federal government and the companies to reduce compensation, the United Auto Workers refused to lower the wage rate for its then-current members. But it allowed all new hires to be paid the reduced rate, along with lesser health and retirement benefits.

At this Chrysler plant in a blighted section of Detroit -- which President Obama is scheduled to visit this week-- the company is handling demand for its Jeep Grand Cherokee by hiring its largest single contingent of "second-tier" workers, the first time such hiring has unfolded in the industry on this scale. Other companies said they will make similar workforce expansions, and two-tier factories are expected to become more common as they do.

After an eight-hour shift attaching oxygen sensors, Jay Johnson, a new hire and a 33-year-old father of three, winced when asked about the pay gap.

"It's all mental," he said after a long pause. "If you think about how much the other guys are making, well, it's not going to work for you. I don't think the $28 an hour will ever come back. But growing up around here, I just know I'm blessed to have a job."

With that, Johnson was echoing the feelings of many co-workers. Several said they were content, for now, to simply collect a good, regular paycheck, regardless of whether the levels within the factory were set equitably.

Less pay? They'll take it.

Unemployment rates run over 13 percent in Detroit, and higher than that for African Americans. Many had been unemployed before recently getting hired.

"I've got a wife, three kids and a mortgage," said Dealon Norton, 28, who was unemployed for a year and now has a job putting bolts into doors. He is untroubled by the pay gap: "I really needed a job."

Others traded lesser jobs -- one was a $10-hourly nurse's assistant, another was an $8-an-hour White Castle manager trainee, a third was machine operator for a local newspaper -- for the upgrade to $14.

Johnson said he, too, held a job before this, but it was in Texas, at a company that makes car seats. So while he was making about the same wage in the Dallas area, he could afford to fly up and see his family only once or twice a month.

"You gotta be grateful," he said.

Indeed, the company also said that despite paying only half of what it once did, it continues to attract good applicants.

About 99 percent of the 1,300 new hires hold high school degrees, according to Chrysler, just like the workforce already at the plant. The new hires are also younger: The average age of the previous workers is 46; for the new hires, it is 33.


And because of the hard times in Detroit, Chrysler officials expect that workers will look beyond the pay disparity.

"If you care about your job, your salary, you look at things in a different way," said Gualberto Ranieri, a Chrysler spokesman. "You realize that in certain areas of this metropolitan area that opportunities for a job are not so wide. You have a different attitude."

Even so, Chrysler has seen significant attrition among the newer hires, as they encounter the monotony and regimentation of a job on the line.

Ergonomics and mechanization have made tasks easier, but the line's swift pace dictates ceaseless focus. Each chore -- hoisting a power drill, attaching a windshield wiper, attaching a seat -- must be repeated each time a vehicle passes by, which can be every 50 seconds.

Breaks are precisely meted out. During one shift last week, work began at 11 a.m., a 13-minute break was held at 12:47, another 13-minute break was held at 2:40, a half-hour lunch came at 4:30 and a 14-minute break came along at 6:01. Workers left at 7:30.

"I hate my job," said one veteran worker, John, outside the gates one day last week. He would give only his first name. "And there's no way I would do this for $14 an hour. These new cats are getting screwed. This is [nasty] work. You bust your butt. You really do."

John and other veteran workers predicted that as the new job becomes more familiar, the sense of novelty will be overtaken by boredom, discontent and, in some cases, repetitive stress injuries.

"Let's wait and see how they feel then," he said.

Deeper pay cuts

Once one of the nation's most powerful unions, the United Auto Workers is credited by historians with lifting working conditions for all Americans and clearing a path for factory workers into the middle class. Union officials talk about "a fair wage," echoing ideals of justice and morality.

But in negotiations before and during the bailout debate, the auto manufacturers, seconded by Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), emphasized the virtues of market forces, and a wage that would allow the U.S. companies to remain competitive with foreign rivals, particularly those building "transplant" factories in the United States.

Those transplant factories pay as much as $25 an hour, with bonuses but more limited retirement and health benefits.

Before pumping billions into GM and Chrysler, the Bush and Obama administrations leaned decisively toward the market view on wages.

During negotiations with Chrysler, the Obama administration called for "maintaining all-in hourly labor costs comparable to its U.S. competitors, including the transplants," according to an April memo describing the Treasury proposal.

The administration proposal also called for all new production employees to be paid the $14 rate, expanding a 2007 labor agreement that set up the lower rate, though only for some "non-core" jobs. In doing so, the administration went well beyond the pay cuts the automakers had envisioned, sources said.

"From the manufacturer's perspective, the line workers were always going to be getting $28 an hour," said a source familiar with the negotiations and the auto manufacturers' thinking. The person, who lacked authorization to discuss the issue, declined to be named. "Those jobs are difficult. But there are other jobs in the plant, and those are not nearly as stressful. Those were going to be the $14."

"The government didn't say $28 an hour was overpaying people," the source said. "But they saw the $14 rate as a way to lower overall labor costs to be competitive."

The two-tier system won approval, first in 2007 and then in 2009, allowing the automakers to win the government bailout and move beyond the crisis. But some at the union saw the wage compromise as the abandonment of fundamental principles that had guided the organization since its founding in 1935.

But the once powerful union has long been aiming to manage an orderly retreat to avoid a rout, according to some observers.

"The idea of the UAW and the steelworkers negotiating so that workers could make it into the middle class, of allowing them to make it as manufacturing workers -- that is all gone," Gary Chaison, professor of industrial relations at Clark University. "And it's difficult to see how they will be able to find their way back."

The two-tier agreement "effectively ends many of the principles established 70 years ago in the UAW's birth," Bill Parker, a negotiating committee leader, wrote in an unusual dissent. "For years, the UAW embodied industrial unionism and the gains of the New Deal. So goes the UAW, so goes the American middle class."

washingtonpost.com



To: stockman_scott who wrote (305)8/18/2010 4:20:01 PM
From: Glenn Petersen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 431
 
General Motors has filed a registration statement:

sec.gov