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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (62512)4/6/2010 8:39:12 AM
From: carranza21 Recommendation  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 218131
 
Except for its characterization of the northern borderlands as not being considered a part of the 'real' Mexico, the article got it surprisingly right.

It missed one thing: if enough moolah changes hands, the government will sic the military on a cartel in order to support the one making the payments. This is thought to be happening now, with the Sinaloa cartel being the current favorite. My info is that the government is going after Sinaloa's enemies, the Gulf and Juarez cartels. The stats show very few Sinaloans getting arrested or killed, but lots of the others taking big hits.

The Gulf cartel screwed up when it co-opted the Mexican Army's special forces guys, getting them to quit the Army in order to work for the cartel at greatly increased compensation. I think this was a major strategic mistake. The Sinaloa guys are probably a bit more shrewd, making a deal with the government not to break the rules of this deadly game.

The government always wins, as another cartel might up the ante, and get the government to do its bidding. This is why Mexico won't be a failed state: the government can always favor one cartel over another and retain the upper hand by dividing and conquering. And so long as the cartels keep fighting, things will be bad, but there will be no collapse as their beef is mainly with each other.

It is all a big business, with the top pols raking in huge sums in bribes. Getting elected governor of a northern state is a sure fire way to get quite rich. If you survive, that is: a former governor barely missed getting killed in an assassination attempt. He was shot in the head but survived.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62512)4/6/2010 12:50:13 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218131
 
Hey Jay... I'm thinking about nibbling on a stock just for the excitement. Of course it's business model is to SHORT U.S. the Long Bond:

finance.yahoo.com

Whatta ya think? I mean, isn't it just STUPID FREE MONEY lying on the floor for me to pick up (shorting Long Bond)? I see it there... crispy $1000 bills... piles of 'em!!

DAK



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62512)4/6/2010 1:13:07 PM
From: energyplay  Respond to of 218131
 
A different view of Mexican events -

narcosphere.narconews.com

An excerpt - this sounds like something that could happen in Brazil, China, or other societies when pushed too far...

**********

Apparently, not too long ago, Chapo Guzman’s Sinaloa cartel allied itself with the Gulf cartel. A few days before we arrived, virtually every jefe of the Zetas was picked up and disappeared if they didn’t flee for their lives. The local cops are in a quandry, trying to figure out who the new owners of the plaza will be.

I think the Zetas, and perhaps also the Juarez cartel have outlived their welcome in Mexico. They’ve strong-armed people and preyed not only on those involved in the drug trade and the smuggling of illegal immigrants, but also legitimate businesses as well, all the way down to the poor woman selling used clothing. They also fed the habits of a rather large body of previously non-existent domestic consumers and addicts.

Mexico’s economy is collapsing as oil production continues its steep decline and as remittances from workers in the United States continue to slow. Income from tourism has crashed as violence scares visitors away. Drugs continue to provide lots of money and therefore, despite the rhetoric, will continue to flow north. But those that choose to sell dope to Mexican citizens are being eliminated. No trial, no jury. A hail of bullets, dead bodies. A knock on the door and a disappearance. What’s happening in Juarez and other areas is government sanctioned social cleansing. That is what your tax money is buying.

**** a different article ******

narcosphere.narconews.com

More propaganda on Mexico
Posted by Don Henry Ford Jr. - April 5, 2010 at 6:06 am
First, from the San Antonio Express News, an article describing how drug cartels attacked two army garrisons in Northern Mexico. The following day, headlines announced:

Drug cartels attacking Mexican army bases

While I wasn't there, neither were these courageous reporters. The results of these attacks don't jive with reality. 18 dead attackers, one injured soldier. Not good for seven ambushes with the latest in modern weapons of war.

Here's what I think happened:

Zetas (or those using the name, anyway) have for some time now been conducting illegal roadblocks throughout Northern Mexico, stopping people and charging passage, and or confiscating goods, unchallenged by the military or any other police agencies.

This in all likliehood was not an attack on a military operation, but instead the military attacking illegitimate road blocks.

All this from an interesting site -
narcosphere.narconews.com



To: TobagoJack who wrote (62512)4/6/2010 4:14:29 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 218131
 
Drugs consumption in the US is the problem. Mexico is the slum atop Rio for the US as the Rocinha slum is for Rio de Janeiro.

Ask a drug dealer. He isn't force feeding drugs. He is just supplying a market and the market is the US.