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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Smiling Bob who wrote (243261)4/7/2010 10:59:32 AM
From: PerspectiveRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Yeah, I'm sure it'll be a 50-point panic! <S> Hell, they meant even drop <gasp> 1%.

I'm an engineer, through and through. Systems are only interesting when they're somewhat *predictable*. I want people to behave predictably irrationally, especially cocky rich boys at Government Sachs. It provides opportunity when people are caught up in chasing stocks for momentum on the short term (weeks to months), if in the long term (years) you're pretty sure the reality of peak credit will take them down, sooner or later.

However, "later" is getting pretty late now. Need it to happen before I lose interest, or other factors like currency issues make offsetting shifts.

`BC



To: Smiling Bob who wrote (243261)4/7/2010 11:03:10 AM
From: The ReaperRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
What is changing is that with the plethora of "good news" lately, the market is not rocketing or even crawling higher. All through this rally the market has reacted favorably to anything that sniffed of good news and even stepped forward on bad news.



To: Smiling Bob who wrote (243261)4/7/2010 1:54:48 PM
From: ajtj99Respond to of 306849
 
That is going to be difficult with IWM and SPY on many hard to borrow lists.

Things are very overbought, but too many are crowded into selling a top.