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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ggersh who wrote (2935)	4/27/2010 9:20:18 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 222434

Derivative market are intelinked. Thus, deteriorating corporate credit will have a direct feedback on stocks. So far some companies had better credit rating than the United States, which is "strange", and can't be modeled. The corporate credit was apparently priced for 1500 Spoos, or so I read. If there is a signature of a top, this is as good as any other signatures, but this market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. The credit market started deteriorating, the housing market never really bottomed. Crashes are very rare, and are usually driven by events, such as Bear, Leh, FNM, FRE, or AIG BK. Otherwise we'll probably have a prolonged distribution top. Bottoms are easier, they are almost always V-s -g-