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To: Finder who wrote (21491)11/6/1997 11:05:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 61433
 
Converging telecom demands fuel broadband networking By Lili Goleniewski Advances in telecommunications have been nothing short of fantastic -- in less than ten years we have gone from discussions of integrating voice, data and video communications to visions of networks capable of transporting the full range of human senses. In just the last five years, the level of data traffic has grown to equal that of voice, and video communications has been consistently demonstrating growth rates of 50% per year. And even then we are only at the beginning of a new era of communications -- one characterized by convergence -- the convergence of networks (witness the @Home topology), the convergence of devices (like Microsoft1s WebTV or Philips P200 Internet Home Phone), the convergence of applications (the edutainment value of DK encyclopedias), and ultimately, the convergence of man and machine. The next five to ten years will bring about a massive convergence of telecommunications and computing, placing unprecedented demands on telecommunications infrastructures worldwide. New networks generation In response, we have begun our transition to the broadband era of communications, a major transformation of not only public switched telephone networks, but also the Internet, cable TV architectures, and wireless networks. Broadband networking is the generation of infrastructure designed for life in the new millennium. This new generation of networks will support a wide range of end-user applications with varying requirements for bandwidth, throughput, delay, variation in delay, reconfiguration intervals, and unique vertical services. To satisfy the requirements of future services -- including networked education, distance learning, telemedicine, electronic commerce, networked games and gaming, and electronic democracy -- telecommunications networks are undergoing significant functional changes enabled by advances in transmission, switching, and signaling technology. This revolutionary transition includes the deployment of several key technologies: SONET/SDH, frame relay, ATM, intelligent networks, broadband local loop, and wireless alternatives. Fiber-based SONET/SDH infrastructures are replacing the existing PDH hierarchy (T/E/J Carrier networks) and can support transmission rates measured in Gbps, with Tbps projected by the year 2000. Among the key equipment providers we can expect to see at Fall are Alcatel Network Systems, Fujitsu America, Lucent Technologies, NEC America, Philips, Rockwell International, Siemens. Due to the explosive growth of applications (which include high-speed data, image processing, and networked interactive multimedia), service providers are seeking to increase the capacity of their existing fiber optic networks. According to Bellcore estimates, by the year 2000, bandwidth demand will be 500% greater than it is today. Enter Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing -- a combination of optical multiplexers and optical amplifiers that allow multiple optical signals to be transported as a group, over a single fiber. Wavelength division multiplexers offering 20- and even 40Gbps are now available, 80Gbps are expected in a year, and 1Tbps projected by 2000. Wavelength division multiplexers (WDMs) now shipping support from four to 32 wavelengths at 2.4Gbps per color. Nortel is trialing an 8-wavelength system based on OC-192 (9.6 Gbps) elements, and the ITU is standardizing 96-color WDM. ATM switching technologies, which operate at SONET/SDH speeds and provide for Quality of Service definitions, are being deployed in all the major infrastructures, PSTN, Internet, cable TV, and wireless networks. Key manufacturers include 3Com, Bay Networks, Cisco Systems, Digital Equipment, Fujitsu, Hitachi, Hughes LAN Systems, IBM, Lucent Technologies, NEC, Nortel, Siemens, and Standard Microsystems. Virtually every telecommunications carrier and network operator around the world has begun the deployment of ATM services. Frame relay access to ATM backbones will also play an increasingly important role, enabling cost-effective data networking solutions. Key providers of carrier switch products include Lucent Technologies, Cisco, Hughes Network Systems, NEC, and Siemens. Internetwork vendors offering frame relay products include Bay Networks, Cisco Systems, 3Com, and Motorola ISG. Voice-over-frame relay products are also available. Intelligent network architectures will be critical to allowing rapid service rollout and provisioning, while also providing for customer-based network configuration. AIN (Advanced Intelligent Network) platforms operate as servers and are being developed by the switch/carrier providers, as well as the large computer manufacturers, including HP, NCR, Nortel, and Siemens. A lower-cost alternative is programmable switches. Another major effort underway is the modernization of the local loop, providing broadband access. One approach taken by a large variety of telcos is the introduction of high-speed digital subscriber lines, a variety of techniques affectionately grouped under the heading xDSLs. These techniques bring new life to the twisted copper pair running into homes and businesses worldwide. One of these, ADSL (Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line), promises transmission rates of up to 6-8Mbps in the downstream direction, and up to 640kbps bidirectionally. Chip sets containing ADSL transmission and MPEG digital compression circuits are being produced by Motorola, Lucent, and Alcatel. Trials are being run at 20 telephone companies. Cable modems up to 30Mbps Another approach to broadband local access is the use of cable modems. Cable modems can also afford increased downstream transmission rates, with a potential of up to 30Mbps, albeit shared among the number of households served by the local node. Cable modem manufacturers include Motorola and HP. Along with the cable TV operators, hybrid fiber coax architectures are also supported by Microsoft/TCI. Finally, developments in wireless networking are finding application in all telecommunications domains, including PANs, LANs, MANs, WANs, and GANs, with increasing emphasis on wireless data communications. Motorola1s Iridium is just one of the LEO (low earth orbiting) satellite networks that promise to provide end-to-end wireless alternatives to traditional wireline based PSTNs. Telecommunications is an exciting industry, a converging market, a source of competitive power, and the most essential infrastructure of the knowledge-based economy. Today, no IT solution can be developed without appropriate knowledge and consideration of communications infrastructures. For this reason, COMDEX introduces EXPO COMM -- it is your opportunity to learn about technology fundamentals and recent developments in Communications: Infrastructure Solutions for the Knowledge Age. Lili Goleniewski is president of The LIDO Organization, a provider of telecommunications education and strategic consulting services, and a member of the COMDEX Advisory Board. ------------------------------------------------------------------------



To: Finder who wrote (21491)11/6/1997 11:30:00 AM
From: jhild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
I hope it bounces off 25 here. Chartwise I don't see much support down until 22 to 20, though given it's rise over the last couple of years, I'm not sure that this can be accurately figured from the charts. It seems to me that it is groping for a bottom and each time not finding any support. Just hoping to hear "The Eagle has landed." soon.