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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (249335)5/21/2010 1:01:37 PM
From: Smiling BobRead Replies (5) | Respond to of 306849
 
You're right on track
Gold should start its move next week after euro crashes, mkt slips, and bonds lose their shine
I'm making a new currency. Gonna call it the worldo. You in?
I missed out on quite a few heavy hauls unloading too soon. Moved into new positions only to see the abandoned one do as good or better, but not complaining
Over-trading just good for the broker



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (249335)5/21/2010 1:29:08 PM
From: TommasoRespond to of 306849
 
I don't think that right now there is any way to guess which direction the general markets might go. There's too much borrowing capacity, too much leverage, too many derivatives, and collective world-wide fiscal insanity.

I do think that there will be the following four stages, but how long it will take for this to unfold I could not guess:

1. Monetizing of sovereign debt, which will cause

2. World-wide inflation, which will force

3. Interest rates up a lot, and which will force

4.Equity markets lower than anyone can currently imagine.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (249335)5/21/2010 2:20:37 PM
From: carranza2Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
At the moment, NGD is at 5.23.

I am thinking about it.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (249335)5/21/2010 2:32:31 PM
From: carranza2Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
the next downleg should be a doozy.

I think we are seeing the effects of the stimulus become attenuated. If no new stimulus is ginned up, we will see the destructive impact of the original round of stimulus become a reality.

Of course, if new stimulating measures are taken, we will be at the same spot again, just a bit later and perhaps with a more forceful effect for I think the damage serial stimuli do is probably cumulative.

I am becoming convinced that the Japanese experience really does provide an accurate template for what happens when the descent from bubbles is cushioned by stimulus. The markets seem to be telling us that very loudly.