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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: benwood who wrote (405392)	5/21/2010 1:01:44 PM
From: Roads End	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436259

Don't know how it's quantified but each new bail out announcement just doesn't buy the thrill it used to.

To: benwood who wrote (405392)	5/22/2010 11:42:11 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436259

These markets are a very complex nonlinear system and constant education, but I have some mathematical education and I do know what an outlier is. -g- While market crashes or Richter-8 earthquakes cannot be accurately predicted, there are some rigorous mathematical tools that allow one to identify increased risk of these events. Of course, that does not guarantee they will happen, but some financial institutions employ folks who study these processes and use these tools. Frogs leave prior to a big earthquake, so they must know. This means it's definitely possible to predict an increased probability of a major earthquake or a market crash. Once in it, it is not possible to tell where it stops. One can use technical tools at his or her own risk, but risk taking should be reduced overall. I choose to do what frogs do. -g-