To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (84421 ) 5/22/2010 12:21:28 PM From: Hope Praytochange Respond to of 224705 Among the Demorats, Sen. Michael Bennet has support from idiot Obama in his nomination fight. But idiot Obama's endorsement failed to save Sen. Arlen Specter from defeat in Pennsylvania's primary this past week, or to help Sen. Blanche Lincoln avoid a run-off in Arkansas. Mr. Bennet is likely to take a drubbing at the convention from a challenger who is attacking him from the left. The conventions will reflect the views of the most committed party activists, and the winning candidates could gain momentum. But the final outcome of the nomination fights likely will be settled in primary elections on Aug. 10. Mr. Bennet has a modest goal at the Democratic gathering: He hopes to win 30% of the vote—enough to secure a spot on the primary-election ballot. Delegates are expected to show far stronger support for a former speaker of the state House, Andrew Romanoff. Even if Mr. Bennet flops at the assembly, party rules allow him to get on the primary ballot by collecting voter signatures. Though Mr. Romanoff has an edge with party activists, at the end of March he had fallen about $5 million behind Mr. Bennet in fund-raising, partly because he won't take money from political-action committees. Mr. Bennet's financial edge has let him dominate the airwaves with folksy TV spots aimed at shaking off his incumbent label. He reminds voters that he is new to politics. A former corporate-turnaround specialist and public-school superintendent, Mr. Bennet was appointed to a vacant Senate seat last year. This is his first political campaign. In his latest ad, his three young daughters paint him as a wide-eyed outsider: "Dad's been in the Senate for one year, and he says it's the biggest mess he's ever seen!" The strategy seems to be working. A Public Policy Polling survey this past week found Mr. Bennet leads Mr. Romanoff by 15 percentage points among likely primary voters. Mr. Romanoff says he takes heart from the Democratic primaries this past week in Pennsylvania, where a more liberal candidate ousted Mr. Specter, and in Arkansas, where a challenger came from far behind to force Ms. Lincoln into a runoff. "I'm a real believer in the fire-in-the-belly school of politics," Mr. Romanoff said, predicting "a wave of anger at Washington's pay-to-play political culture" would buoy his effort. The candidates have few major policy disagreements: Mr. Romanoff, for instance, said he would have pushed harder for a public option in the health-care overhaul. On the Republican side, Saturday's state convention is also expected to be a rout—in favor of a candidate who a few weeks ago was widely dismissed. Ken Buck, the rural district attorney, has been surging in the polls, thanks to backing from tea-party groups and $600,000 in supportive TV ads from a conservative advocacy group, Americans for Job Security. The one-time front-runner, former Lt. Gov. Jane Norton, has dropped out of the convention, where Mr. Buck is likely to win big. She has volunteers and paid workers collecting signatures to get her on the primary ballot. Ms. Norton said that approach allows her to talk to more voters. "This is really not a business-as-usual year," she said. Analysts predict a tight race. Ms. Norton has a big financial advantage, having raised $1.9 million to Mr. Buck's $650,000 through March. She also has a string of endorsements from Republican senators and has been publicly praised by Sarah Palin. Mr. Buck acknowledges that he has few differences with Ms. Norton on policy. "None come to mind," he said. But there is "a very strong image difference," said independent pollster Floyd Ciruli. He said Ms. Norton is burdened with the perception that she is the establishment candidate, while Mr. Buck positions himself as a scrappy insurgent.