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Politics : Rat's Nest - Chronicles of Collapse -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (10659)5/26/2010 1:13:32 AM
From: Wharf Rat1 Recommendation  Respond to of 24224
 
some misc. comments

Wanderer0101 on May 25, 2010 - 12:02pm
Injecting balls of a particular specific gravity as a diverting agent is a standard oil field practice that's been used for years. I ran my first ball injector on a well 35 years ago. Simply because you are ignorant of the procedure does not mean it isn't valid. I doubt these are literal golf balls, rather they would be rubber balls specifically manufacture for this purpose

Wanderer0101 on May 25, 2010 - 12:17pm
Yes, they're actually talking about the balls typically used as diverting agents. My understanding is that they've got some 15K ball injectors that are capable of handling balls up to 3 inch OD and they have a couple of thousand balls of that size with a 1.3 specific gravity. They probably have some smaller balls as well. Apparently the lines they will pump through can handle the 3 inch dimension. If the rams are indeed partially close I would think that a bunch of rubber balls that size would do a pretty good job of plugging the thing off. But they evidently believe that there will be enough restriction to flow without mechanical obstruction to get the mud going south. If it ever does turn the corner it will be over pretty shortly.

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VeloVol on May 25, 2010 - 9:49am
I saw something this am re: they are giving the top kill a 60 - 70% chance.

Is that a reasonable estimate?

ROCKMAN on May 25, 2010 - 10:21am
Velo -- In such situations I always offer a 50/50 chance of success - either it will work or it won't. Seriously: that's what I typically offer when there are so many unknowns.
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Dragonfly41 on May 25, 2010 - 9:30pm
OK, someone on the live BP feed is definitely reading TOD. They just added this...

Throughout the extended top kill procedure – which may take up to two days to complete - very significant changes in the appearance of the flows at the seabed may be expected. These will not provide a reliable indicator of the overall progress, or success or failure, of the top kill operation as a whole. BP will report on the progress of the operation as appropriate and on its outcome when complete.