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To: stockman_scott who wrote (77019)6/2/2010 9:47:30 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 149317
 
or longer

ROCKMAN on June 2, 2010 - 7:32am
kimyo -- the chances of a success kill by the RW's is 100%. But that's not the problem: how long will it take? I've seen wells estimated to take 70 days to drill and by the time they were done actually took 280 days. That's a big reason why some could argue for more than 2 RW. The estimate for either well to reach the target is about 3 months. More RW's won't make any one hole drill faster. But what if it's August and both RW's are lost due to mechanical problems? Then you start from scratch and take another 3 months to drill the new well...if it doesn't have any problems. In the drilling world you always have problem. The only questions os how bad they'll be

“What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know, it's what we know for sure that just ain't so.”
—Mark Twain