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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Defrocked who wrote (7166)11/6/1997 6:17:00 PM
From: Joseph G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
It's not inverted yet, but getting pretty flat.

Joe



To: Defrocked who wrote (7166)11/17/1997 4:56:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Respond to of 18056
 
Teeter-totter anyone? Fulcrum = 9 mos.,tilt= 64.7 bps. :^)

Oct.17,1997 Nov.17,1997 Change
3 MO 5.028 5.297 .2694
6 MO 5.305 5.379 .0744
1 Yr 5.531 5.432 -.0991
2 Yr 5.886 5.675 -.2107
3 Yr 5.959 5.715 -.2444
5 Yr 6.074 5.775 -.2991
10 Yr 6.160 5.834 -.3260
30 Yr 6.442 6.064 -.3777

Looks like the market's tightening for the Fed.
John Makin may be right yet.

aei.org

Makin's logical train runs as follows: too much investment
(paradox of thrift), low ROI disappoints investors, leads
to disinflation, then to deflation, creating unemployment.

Rudy Dornbusch believes Asia in big trouble but limited
impact, read slowdown only, in US.

biz.yahoo.com

But as someone pointed out on "Investing in Bear Markets" thread,
only idiots believe those scenarios and sell their stocks.
Well call me stupid.<g> And cautious. Taint over IMO.

Good trading all.