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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Real Man who wrote (5228)6/5/2010 8:04:45 AM
From: carranza21 Recommendation  Respond to of 219152
 
I know this is very simplistic

Simplicity and economy of thought, if correct, are very valuable. Complexity often only complicates and hides the obvious.



To: Real Man who wrote (5228)6/5/2010 8:17:54 AM
From: carranza21 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 219152
 
With most stimulus dough spent, but employment not responding, and that 70% of our economy, the consumer, not being able to use credit, either because he cannot get it or because he is consciously de-leveraging, and the brilliant guys in Congress now scared to do anything stimulus-wise that might get the T party pissed off, it seems almost a given to me that we are headed into a double dip recession....throw in China and Europe into the mix for grins, and we have big global trouble on the way.

Don't understand how the bulls can rely on market 'mood' or sentiment, i.e., volatility that might take them up, while absolutely ignoring the fundamental macro picture. Unless they are very, very lucky or extremely talented, those who ignore market fundamentals ultimately get chewed up.

The risk/benefit analysis for the long side is incredibly bad at the moment.

I know,I know, preaching to the choir and all that.



To: Real Man who wrote (5228)6/5/2010 8:52:20 AM
From: ggersh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219152
 
"I would expect our generous Central Bank to open the Wazoo
long before the DOW is cut 70% from here, then we'll go up."

Will it matter? -ng-



To: Real Man who wrote (5228)6/5/2010 8:44:47 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219152
 
How bearish are you? Within reason, do you have a possible level for the DOW? SP? TIA

GZ