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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RetiredNow who wrote (253563)6/11/2010 12:07:24 PM
From: CalculatedRiskRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
Just a note - those guys missed the last recession (called it late), and have had other misses.

Mish did a nice piece on their actual track record:
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

ECRI in March 2008 (recession started in December 2007):

"The U.S. economy is now on a recession track. Yet this is a recession that could have been averted. In January, given the plunge in the Weekly Leading Index, we declared that the economy had entered a clear window of vulnerability."

And bottom call for housing prices in May 2007:
The Economic Cycle Research Institute's Leading Home Price Index is "pointing to a bottom in home prices" and signaling a recovery in demand, said Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI's managing director.

And much more ...



To: RetiredNow who wrote (253563)6/11/2010 12:32:17 PM
From: doncRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
..nice call but i think we get a little rally first say 1145 SPX..too many people are bearish right now..

donc