To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (85900 ) 6/15/2010 11:39:53 AM From: TideGlider 1 Recommendation Respond to of 224750 Election 2010: South Carolina Senate South Carolina Senate: DeMint 58%, Greene 21% Tuesday, June 15, 2010 Email to a Friend ShareThis.Advertisement While South Carolina Democrats fret over how an unemployed political unknown with a felony charge hanging over him won their party’s Senate nomination, the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the general election contest finds incumbent Republican Senator Jim DeMint far in the lead. DeMint, who is seeking a second six-year term, earns support from 58% of Likely Voters in South Carolina, while Democratic nominee Alvin Greene picks up 21% of the vote. Nine percent (9%) like some other candidate, and 13% are undecided. In a state that leans strongly Republican, Democrats have invested most of their attention this year in the race to succeed embattled GOP Governor Mark Sanford. No major Democrat opted to run against DeMint, a highly popular conservative who is seen as very difficult to beat. State Representative Nikki Haley is running stronger than her Republican Primary runoff opponent in the general election battle for governor of South Carolina. The runoff is scheduled for June 22. DeMint leads among male voters by better than four-to-one and among women by a two-to-one margin. Yet while 90% of Republican voters back DeMint, Greene earns just 50% support in his own party. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters not affiliated with either party prefer the incumbent. Greene, an African-American, captures 51% of the black vote, while 74% of whites favor DeMint. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of conservatives in the state like DeMint, while moderate and liberal voters are more closely divided over the race. In the June 8 Democratic Primary, Greene defeated retired judge Vic Rawl with nearly 60 percent of the vote in a contest in which it appears both men did little campaigning. Now some state Democrats are complaining about Greene’s victory, even charging that it may be a Republican dirty trick, and Rawl has asked the state party to investigate. (Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 500 Likely Voters in South Carolina was conducted on June 10, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. Last December, 51% of Republicans in South Carolina said their party should be more like DeMint than like Lindsay Graham, the state's other GOP senator who has tried to work with the Democrats in Congress on some issues. Thirty-two percent (32%) said the party should be more like Graham. Sixty-five percent (65%) of all South Carolina voters favor repeal of the national health care bill, well above support for repeal nationally, while 30% oppose repeal. This includes 55% who Strongly Favor repealing the measure and 20% who Strongly Oppose it. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of the much larger group that Strongly Favors repeal support DeMint. While in most states a sizable majority of those Strongly Opposed to repeal favor the Democratic Senate candidate, Greene earns just a modest plurality (42%) of these voters in South Carolina. DeMint is viewed Very Favorably by 32% of voters in the state and Very Unfavorably by nine percent (9%). Only 12% have no opinion of the incumbent senator. Six percent (6%) have a Very favorable opinion of Greene, while 30% view him Very Unfavorably. Twenty-nine percent (29%) of South Carolina voters don’t know enough about him to venture any kind of opinion. At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers. Voters in South Carolina tend to view Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan more unfavorably than favorably, and 37% oppose her confirmation by the Senate. Twenty-five percent (25%) favor Kagan’s confirmation, but 38% more are undecided. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe that offshore oil drilling should be allowed, identical to voter sentiments nationally. Twenty percent (20%) oppose such drilling, and 21% are not sure. Forty-four percent (44%) agree, however, that the oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico will have a devastating long-term impact on the environment, with another 34% who say the impact will be major. Eighty-two percent (82%) say that the companies involved in the drilling that led to the leak should be responsible for all the cleanup costs, although 15% think the government should help the companies pay for the cleanup. South Carolina voters are evenly divided over whether the United States can win the war in Afghanistan: 37% say yes, 37% say no. Forty-two percent (42%) rate President Obama’s handling of the war as good or excellent, while 26% say he is doing a poor job. John McCain carried South Carolina over Obama in the 2008 elections by a 54% to 45% margin. Forty-six percent (46%) of voters in the state now approve of the job Obama is doing as president, while 53% disapprove. This is comparable to Obama’s ratings among voters nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.