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To: CPAMarty who wrote (24944)11/7/1997 7:36:00 AM
From: Bill DeMarco  Respond to of 50808
 
More on the DVD-RAM issue.....

Drive Vendors Fight Over DVD-RAM Format
Sony/Philips and NEC Abandon Industry Standard

by Dan Costa
Originally published in the November 1997 issue

The DVD standard has gotten complicated again, as not one but two rivals to
the existing DVD-RAM specification have emerged. Flouting the standard
established by the DVD Forum industry alliance, Sony and Philips announced
in August 1997 that they would pursue their own rewritable DVD format.
Days later, NEC said that it, too, would go its own way.

While the Forum's DVD-RAM standard (already used by pioneering drives
such as Hitachi's GF-1000) supports 2.6GB of storage per side; the
Sony/Philips solution will store 3GB per side. NEC hopes to leapfrog both
these formats with a disc capable of storing 5.2GB per side.

While this confusion will probably put off the finalization of a DVD-RAM
standard, it shouldn't affect mainstream consumers much, says James Porter,
president of the Mountain View, Calif., market-research firm Disk/Trend.

"A very small slice of the user base will ever get DVD-RAM," says Porter,
comparing the technology with the mostly vertical-application-oriented CD-R
and CD-RW. "DVD-RAM is really targeted at multimedia development."

The squabble will have no effect on the DVD-ROM drives and stand-alone
DVD players now on the market, since both past and present members of the
DVD Forum have agreed to continue to support the DVD-ROM standard.

Indeed, DVD-ROM sales are expected to increase steadily, Porter says,
adding, "DVD-ROM sales will completely replace CD-ROM sales in the next
three years."

Even as the DVD-ROM debate flared up, HBO Home Video, MGM
Entertainment, New Line Home Video, and Warner Home Video all
announced they were expanding DVD movie availability from limited test
markets to retail outlets throughout the U.S.

As for rewritable DVD, what's left of the forum is trying to bring NEC back
into the fold. Sony and Philips, however, are seen as unlikely to give up the
royalty investments they have made in their 3GB standard.

Until the conflict is settled, do-it-yourself disc-mastering users must settle for
the 650MB capacity of CD-R and CD-RW. Meanwhile, with
magnetic-storage prices falling to pennies per megabyte, Porter says time is
not on the side of DVD-RAM vendors.

"By the time these guys finally get out there with a 4.7GB rewritable DVD,"
he predicts, "hard drives will be in the 20GB to 30GB range."

Optical Drives Spinning Up

Worldwide Forecast Shipments (in Thousands)


1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
CD Format Drives
(Read-Only)*
55,570
66,753
78,179
88,455
99,181
CD Format Drives
(Rewritable)*
1,419
2,240
3,116
3,901
4,702
Read/Write Drives (Under
2GB)**
1,398
1,783
2,049
2,100
1,813
Read/Write Drives (Over
2GB)**
N/A
924
68
196
432

*CD format drives include CD-ROM and DVD types

**Read/write drives include write-once, rewritable, and multifunction types

Source: 1997 Disk/Trend Report