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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Honey_Bee who wrote (5335)7/4/2010 8:54:52 PM
From: marc ultra3 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10065
 
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ROFLOL! Bob Brinker has not done "well" with market timing.
His market timing has been a train wreck for the past ten years and there were a few fender-benders in the thirteen years before that."

You're again showing your bias. The following is from an independent site:

Bob Brinker of Bob Brinker’s Marketimer, one of Hulbert Financial Digest’s nine 2010 Honor Roll Inductees (honor roll: letters that out-performed in both up and down markets). Hulbert’s #3 best performer over the last 15 years.]

I'm not aware of many who where 100% invested through virtually all of the 90's, went bearish in early 2000 and then went back to fully invested right at the final bear market retest bottom in March 2003.

I'm also not aware of many who more recently did well in both the bear that ended in March '09 and properly played the bull that followed. It's hard to navigate the first true financial panic in 100 years.

Why haven't you named all these brilliant market timers that did so much better than Bob over this period? Are you busy criticizing and pointing out all their mistakes on the internet?

Is your goal to have the best market timing advice over a period of time or is your goal to be obsessed with one market timer, not compare them to anyone else but just harp on any missed call?

I thought we went through this before so not sure why you felt it necessary to come out of your hive and restart it.

Also you have a low threshold for ROFLOL. It's healthy to have a good sense of humor but inappropriate laughing can be a sign of a neurological or psychological problem.

How about trying to be a little more objective when criticizing Brinker and I'll feel less motivated to respond. Or as Bob likes to say we'll agree to disagree.



To: Honey_Bee who wrote (5335)7/5/2010 11:35:10 AM
From: Kirk ©2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10065
 
Keep up the good work and don't let your "critics" get you down.

Some here think Brinker has done well as a market timer this past decade despite admitting he has been mostly in stocks and missed the biggest bear since the great depression while giving a 'gift horse' buy when the S&P500 was at 1450!!! I think they refuse to admit they hitched their horse to the wrong wagon... the wagon that believes market timing is viable.

Remember Ralph Acampora?

A Market Forecast That Says ‘Take Cover’
nytimes.com

Mr. Prechter is hardly the only market hand to advocate prudence now, but nearly everyone else foresees a much rosier future, once current difficulties are past.

For example, Ralph J. Acampora, a market analyst with more than 40 years of experience, said he moved entirely out of stocks and into cash late last month. Now a partner at Alverita, a wealth management firm in New York, he said recent setbacks suggested that the market would drop another 10 or 15 percent, probably until September or October, before resuming another “meaningful rally.”

Over the next several years Mr. Acampora expects an “old normal market,” characterized by relatively short-lived swings that will provide many opportunities for smart investors — one that resembles the markets of the 1960s and 70s. “I’ve lived through it,” he said.


Hulbert will publish his twice a year long-term performance list in a few weeks. It will be interesting to see how market timers have done. Bob Brinker is hard to figure in this because Hulbert doesn't count his QQQ advice. I read somewhere that the best timer he follows has been in US Treasuries the past decade! I would have thought some of the Gold newsletter writers he follows would have been in gold so we'll see.