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To: RetiredNow who wrote (261137)7/15/2010 1:37:13 PM
From: DebtBombRespond to of 306849
 
That bill is meaningless, IMO.



To: RetiredNow who wrote (261137)7/15/2010 1:49:05 PM
From: tejekRead Replies (4) | Respond to of 306849
 
Why doesn't he know whether the bill will help us deal with the next financial crisis?

He didn't say financial crisis.....he said economic crisis.....which is inevitable. You're too negative and you're hearing what you want to hear.

On the other side, I hear bankers like JPM's Dimon unhappy because they have new regs that control their businesses. We need banks.....we can't kill them. The bill can always be fine tuned going forward.



To: RetiredNow who wrote (261137)7/15/2010 1:55:56 PM
From: tejekRespond to of 306849
 
Goldman on J.P. Morgan: ‘Shoe Seems on the Other Foot’

By Matt Phillips

Bank earnings are always somewhat opaque affairs riddled with write-ups, write-downs, provisions, pre-provisions, pre-pre-provisions and various other temptations for a bit of — as one of our commenters put it — “hanky-panky with accounting rules.”

That’s why we thought we’d spotlight a very clear takeaway on Thursday’s J.P. Morgan Chase’s earnings, from Goldman Sachs analysts:

The story of the past year at big banks has been absorbing big provisions with even bigger preprovision, led by capital markets results. This quarter the shoe seems on the other foot – great credit but weaker pre-provision.

Translation: For the last year, as the economy struggled. The bank lost money on bad loans, but made money on its booming Wall Street businesses such as bond trading and investment banking. That’s how The Journal sees it too. WSJ.com’s headline? ”Main Street Lifts J.P. Morgan.”

If that’s the takeaway, one is left to wonder why the banks that cater to main street — the regionals — are getting hammered. The KBW Regional Banking Index is down 1.9%. Regions Financial is off 3.2%. SunTrust is down 3%. BB&T is down 1.7%. KeyCorp, Zions, Fifth Third and PNC are all down around 1%. They were worse earlier but have pared some of their losses on the day.

One explanation might have something to do with the Financial Regulations that cleared the Senate Thursday. J.P. Morgan actually upped its estimate for how much restrictions on retail overdraft fees would cost the bank. Previously it put the figure at plus or minus $500 million on an after tax basis. J.P. Morgan raised that to plus or minus $700 million, Thursday.

J.P. Morgan also tighted its range up on how much the Card Act — credit card legislation passed a year ago — would cost it. Previously it put that at a range between $500-$750 million. Now it’s a solid $750 million. It would be easy for the markets to transfer the specter of rising of those costs onto the regional banks.


And finally, the fact remains that though there is some performance improvement in terms of the loans that are out there, there’s very little in terms of demand for new loans, which definitely clouds the revenue picture for banks. Here’s J.P. Morgan executive Mike Cavanagh on the call Thursday:

“We continue to see maybe some signs of activity on the horizon but not yet translating into actual increase in loan demand and continued low level of utilization in the low 30%, 30, 32% utilization rates against the committed lines we have to our clients in this space.”

blogs.wsj.com



To: RetiredNow who wrote (261137)7/15/2010 2:01:01 PM
From: Cal AmariRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Is it the FinReg bill, or the F'inReg bill?

Either way, we're F'ed.



To: RetiredNow who wrote (261137)7/15/2010 8:28:09 PM
From: Skeeter BugRespond to of 306849
 
>>Is that the most tepid praise ever? Why doesn't he know whether the bill will help us deal with the next financial crisis? <<

because the fed has broken the law for 50 years and will continue to do so.

growing credit aggregates much faster than gdp will *always* end in boom/bust cycles... and you will note that NOBODY in the MSM *ever* mentions that the fed is breaking federal reserve law and that this lawlessness has led us to where we are today!

NOBODY!