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To: donss who wrote (2012)11/7/1997 8:54:00 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
RE: "If so, Montgomery might have been on more solid ground if it had cited that median estimate of 15% a year, instead of the 34% average. Statisticians say the median is a more representative statistic than the average "if the response distribution is really skewed," says Peter Miller, a professor at Northwestern University, Evanston, Ill. "The average is sensitive to extreme values. That's why you often see reports of median income instead of average income."

Yes, that's what I was trying to say in my previous post.

Thanks for the information,

I2



To: donss who wrote (2012)11/8/1997 1:06:00 AM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42834
 
Thanks Donss

Kirk, I believe this is the article you wanted.
-----------------------------------------------
The Wall Street Journal Interactive Edition
-- October 27, 1997
Was Investor Survey A Rush to Judgment?

By ROBERT MCGOUGH
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Are mutual-fund investors really so naive that they
believe they're going to earn 34% a year for the next 10
years?
---------------------------------------------------------------

My guess is it makes better press to talk about "pretend idiots" rather than a few points optimistic expectations.

Great respect and kudos to "The Journal" too. To bad they charge so much for their interactive edition.

thanks again
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