Watch list November 10-28, stocks with great earnings growth and reasonable PE's. My buys will concentrate in the safer industries, while occasionally taking a chance on a beaten down leader that has been oversold (AMAT,APM,QNTM,INTC). This approach is quite evident in my selections of the last several weeks. I will concentrate on Retail and Drugs, some Financials, but mostly industries that are domestic or confined to western industrialized countries. Oil should continue to do well, because most demand is from the more developed countries so the Asian mess won't affect it much:
note: In the third part of this post I have indicated 98th percentile, 92nd etc on some companies..This indicates that where I would have something like: Rel Performance Cal Yr =163.8 that would rank this particular Rel Performance in the 90th percentile for all companies
Earnings Plays for most of this month:
November 10
DHI, DAVL, DMN, BJ, PSS, VPI, MCY,RIG,SSPE,NMGC
November 11:
FTR,AMCN,DGII,FOSL,NOBE,CLE,GFI, NTAP,QCOM,OSHSF
November 12:
FD, HOLX, PSUN, TJX,CZT,TEXP
November 13
EESI, RWAY,WND, SKS, CXIPY, LE,CPB,HD
November 14,
JOINA, BKE, BKS,SUIT,GYM,BELW
November 17:
CACOA, BEAS, ZOLT,SMTK,SPLS,FRAG
November 18:
HIBB, WSGC,LAYN
November 19
GCO, FRED, SFDS, ROST,PAUH,ARBR,DH
November 20
CGGI, GDYS, AEOS,PFT
November 21,
AEOS, IDTC,SCVL,ADSK,AMAT
November 24,
OATS
November 26: MRLL, PRLS
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Some random examples of how some of these companies were chosen:
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MERCURY GENERAL MCY EPS Rank = 93, EPS Surprise Pos Last 4 quarters= 4, Insider ranking of 97, Rel Performance Cal Yr=163.8, Acc. Dist Current=71, Correlation Coefficient=1. Moving Avg Breakout 10 Day=2,EPS Stability Current = 95.0 This ranks MCY in top 89th percentile of companies,Rel Performance Cal Yr =163.8 ranks in 90th percentile of companies,EPS %Change Last Qtr 34.% Beat estimates by 6 cents last quarter and by 5 cents the previous quarter.
Strong Buy 4
Moderate Buy 2
DMN Dimon Incorporated Projected EPS for Current year was upgraded in last month 1.7 leaving it in 87th percentile of companies, EPS Rank = 98, EPS Surprise Pos Last 4 = 3, EPS %Change Last Qtr 161.9% ranks this company 94th percentile of companies, Accumulation Distribution = 70, Wilder Breakout 9 Day = 55 ranks this in 99th percentile, Stochastics Brkout 9/3 Dy = 9 ranking this company in the 91st percentile, Moving Avg Breakout 10 Day = 6 ranks this company in 95th percentile,
DHI Dr. Horton. Inc.: Proj EPS estimates raised in last month 2.4, EPS Rank = 96, EPS Surprise Pos Last 4 quarters= 4. ERG = 84.1, Wilder Breakout 9 Day= 16 (95th percentile), EPS Growth 1 Yr 129.4
GAP: EPS Rank 69, Proj. EPS Rank 95, ERG 85. ERG 3 Wk Change = 91Acc. Dist Current 66, Rel Performance Cal Yr = 178.5. Price Rank= 116.7
NTAP EPS: %Change Last Qtr = 34%, Proj EPS %Change Cur Qtr= 68%, Moving Average 10 Day = 104.594, Moving Average 21 Day= 100.786 , Moving Average 30 Day101.0 87, Moving Average 50 Day, 104. Rel Performance 12 Wk = 124.5 leaving this in the 90th percentile, Rel performance 3 days, 4 days and 1 week over 100, leaving this in the 90th percentile.
TEVIY: EPS %Change Last Qtr 104.1, EPS Change current Qtr, Proj EPS % Change Cur Qtr, 90 Proj EPS %Change Next Qtr = 6400% , EPS Rank = 95,
WND Windmere: Proj EPS %Change Cur Qtr = 310.0%, Proj EPS %Change Next Qtr 275%, EPS Surprise Pos Last 4 Qts = 3, Rel Performance Cal Yr = 176%, Rel Performance 12 Wk, 127%, Proj EPS Current Fiscal Yr 336.4% (rank 97th percentile)
HOLX Hologics:EPS Surprise Pos Last 4 qtrs.= 3. Proj EPS %Change Cur Qtr = 93%,
Strong Buy (1)4
Moderate Buy (2)3
Hold (3)1
FOSL: EPS Rank 87, Proj EPS Rank 93 EPS Surprise Pos Last 4=4 , Moving Average 10 Day =103.392, (92nd percentile) Moving Average 21 Day = 102.9 (92nd percentile), Moving Average 30 Day 101.6, Moving Average 50 Day= 102.4, Moving Avg Breakout 10 Day 6.0 (95th percentile )Stochastics Brkout 9/3 Dy 13(95th Percentile),
NOBE: Moving Avg Breakout 10 Day , 7.0 (96th percentile) Stochastics Brkout 9/3 Dy =8.0(87th Percentile Stochastics Value 9/3 Day =93.9 (96th percentile), ERG 75, EPS %Change Last Qtr =38%, EPS Rank 83,EPS Surprise Pos Last 4 = 3. |
