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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (64893)7/27/2010 7:39:02 PM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217545
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(i) i am joyously anticipating to be reunited with the gold which i so heartlessly disposed of earlier Message 26582815 on june 1st, so few weeks ago ...

<<... just unloaded 100% of paper gold @ hkd 11,350/tael earlier bought on margin 2010-05-26 Message 26565492 at hkd 11,199/tael so as to sleep better, and

acceptably rewarding.

... also just unloaded 50% of all owned/free-clear paper gold at same hkd 11,350 which were bought 2010-05-24 Message 26560053 at hkd 11,064, thus reducing overall physical+paper gold position by about 25%>>


if the earlier 1-3% gains were worth taking off the table, the just avoided 5% (discount from june 1st selling price) is worth even more to have dodged.

... and i am now almost ready to do as promised, even if not yet, just so,

<<should gold crater, am now psychologically better disposed to wade in with leverage
should gold ramp, can be easily convinced to offload and fight another day>>


i now believe i am more likely to buy than to sell, because i am reminded that we are supposed to buy cheaper and sell dearer.

(ii) with another little one soon to dawn, i am understandably nervous about additional responsibilities, further obligations, and general increases in expenses.

(ii a) i must try to earn more by being more astute, as opposed to devoting still more hours to work because i am going flat out as it now is.

(ii b) i also must try to save more ... from the mama of all heretofore nasty bear markets ... by being more agile.

(iii) thankfully there is much initiatives to start and do that would be in alignment with imperatives, and now that i have decided to surrender to the new sovereign that be apple and all its products, i am looking forward to simpler and more effective intelligence-computation-communication technology to aid efforts to extract sustenance from the market place.

once i have become familiar with the soon-to-arrive specially-ordered geewhizbangohwhoawee-specified apple mac book pro, i aim to replace desktops with imacs of the highest calibre. i would execute the more involved technology replacement / know-how renewal cycle in the summer of 2011, a year hence.

(iv) my in-laws just offered and my wife accepted same, that we would trade our smaller (1500 sft) full ocean view abode with the in-laws' larger (3600 sft) and garden complemented home that is across the street from us, so that the two grandchildren can scamper around while their all providing dada can extract from the market arena undisturbed.

we will spec the major renovation as i would a computer, start work in the summer of 2011 and move in before september of 2011.

a passing comment, that i truly appreciate asian family values even as i conditionally take advantage of american crony capitalism, both apparently considered to be in alignment with god's work by somebodies ;0)

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (64893)7/30/2010 12:11:04 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217545
 
hello pezz, today's report:

read a material note in FT toady, on page 18, embedded here under. i note that i am no longer curious about the source of that gold which has been put into the hands of bis, for it is now obvious that the gold belonged to savers who entrusted the bullion banks with their unallocated gold excess savings and to be less-accounted-for gold surplus capital.

i have two thoughts,

(i) it is interesting that, gold being so supposedly useless, and the people who hold them especially in physical form so clueless, and all so barbaric, and yet the stuff can be used to secure loans. if and just so, i can think of a lot of other stuff available from any septic tank that should be equally useless.

(ii) i best get more gold, even if in unallocated paper form, to help out the global economy, and assist the deserving and ever so-privileged banks.

and so i just did, added massively, as in mind-bending wallop strength, of tranches of noble paper gold position at average price of hkd 10,810/tael, as well as hedged my brave wager with several tranches of strategic paper platinum at 12,157/oz.

these days i am busy, cannot do dd due diligence on anything of script flavor, and so restrict myself to the purist of macro machinations, that which depends on astute agility, the noble and the strategic. their pricing 24/7 incorporates all that is known, knowable, as well as suspected but unknown, and probably even the unknowable. so much less fuss, plus neither pe ratio nor board meetings to worry about.

ft.com

BIS gold swaps mystery is unravelled
By Jack Farchy and Javier Blas in London

Published: July 29 2010 19:10 | Last updated: July 29 2010 19:10

Three big banks – HSBC, Société Générale and BNP Paribas – were among more than 10 based in Europe that swapped gold with the Bank for International Settlements in a series of unusual deals that caused confusion in the gold market and left traders scratching their heads.

The mystery of who was involved in deals with the BIS, the bank for central banks, and what they were doing, has become clearer.

The Financial Times has learnt that the swaps, which were initiated by the BIS, came as the so-called “central banks’ bank” sought to obtain a return on its huge US dollar-denominated holdings. The BIS asked the commercial banks to pledge a gold swap as guarantee for the dollar deposits they were taking from the Basel-based institution.

When news of the swaps, which were disclosed in a note to the BIS’s latest annual report, circulated among traders this month, it caused a sharp fall in the gold price, sending bullion to what was then six-week lows. Gold has since fallen further: it was trading at $1,164 an ounce on Thursday.

Some analysts speculated that the swap deals were a surreptitious bail-out of the European banking system ahead of last week’s publication of stress tests. But bankers and officials have described the transactions as “mutually beneficial”.

“The client approached us with the idea of buying some gold with the option to sell it back,” said one European banker, referring to the BIS.

Another banker said: “From time to time, central banks or the BIS want to optimise the return on their currency holdings.”

Nonetheless, two central bank officials said some of the commercial banks also needed the US dollar funding and were keen to act as a counterparty with the BIS. The gold swaps began in December and surged in January, when the Greek debt crisis erupted and European commercial banks were facing funding problems.

Jaime Caruana, head of the BIS, told the FT the swaps were “regular commercial activities” for the bank.

In a short note in its annual report, published at the end of June, the BIS said it had taken 346 tonnes of gold in exchange for foreign currency in “swap operations” in the financial year to March 31.

In the same fiscal year, the BIS took three times the amount of currency deposits it had taken the previous year as central banks around the world became concerned about using commercial banks for their deposits and turned to the Basel institution.

In a gold swap, one counterparty, in this case a bank, sells its gold to the other, in this case the BIS, with an agreement to buy it back at a later date.

The gold swaps were, in effect, a form of collateral against the US-dollar deposits placed by the BIS with commercial banks. Gold is widely regarded as one of the safest assets, but has not been widely used as collateral in the past. Mr Caruana described the transactions as “loans with a guarantee”.

Investors have bought physical gold in record amounts during the past two years and deposited it in commercial banks. European financial institutions are awash with bullion and some are trying to pledge gold as a guarantee.

George Milling-Stanley, managing director for government affairs at the industry-backed World Gold Council, said: “The gold swaps commercial banks carried out with the BIS demonstrate the effectiveness of gold as an asset class, because even in the depths of the worst liquidity crisis in living memory, institutions with access to gold were able to make use of it to generate dollar liquidity.

“The issue also feeds right into the current debate among Asian central banks about the lack of assets suitable for use as cross-border collateral.”

Last year, CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives exchange, allowed investors to use gold futures as collateral for some operations. Other institutions, such as central banks, had begun using and requesting gold as collateral in the past two years as perceptions of counterparty risk have risen, bankers and officials said.

The gold used in the swaps came mainly from investors’ deposit accounts at the European commercial banks. Some investors prefer to deposit their gold in so-called “allocated accounts”, which restrict the custodian banks’ ability to use the gold in their market operations by assigning them specific bullion bars. But other investors prefer cheaper “unallocated accounts”, which give banks access to their bullion for their day-to-day operations.

Officials said other commercial banks obtained the gold from the lending market, borrowing bullion from emerging countries’ central banks.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2010. You may share using our article tools.



To: pezz who wrote (64893)7/30/2010 11:51:55 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217545
 
hello pezz, tonight's report:

(i) went to neighborhood bar and had two beers with pals
downed deep fried white fish sprinkled with garlic
also potato slices done same way

(ii) just shorted puts on gdx, strike 48, september 2010, at 2.04 usd

needed spending money, and so reached for the cloud atm.

tranche 1 of possibly 4 trades, waiting to see, what I do not know.

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (64893)8/4/2010 5:51:50 AM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217545
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(i) spent some time setting up my apple mac book pro to operate in both mac os and windows, be in sync with my desktop big rig as well as my iphone and blackberry, and migrate files and such, all occupied about 2-3 hours, including downloading program updates and transferring several 10s of gigabytes photos and music

(ii) went to lamma island with family to lunch on steamed reef fish, napped on boat, and swam until once again alert

(iii) watched gold and platinum executing the marching orders to go up, and gave thanks that i loaded up Message 26720305 just so many hours ago

while the % gain has so far been relatively modest, but the absolute loot is so far worthwhile and of merit

I trade in words and such, but am drawn to owning noble physical gold, claiming strategic platinum, and watching silver and palladium.

I like gold, because it is a purist macro play without any truly discernible fundamentals, stuff all supply vs demand dynamics as gold is intrinsically not at all useful except as a relatively esoteric wagering chip, embodies all knowns and encompasses all unknowns, and

... even better, to trade it, I can just focus trading it against my own emotions - i.e. when want to buy, must instead sell; and when frightened to run, must instead embrace.

Platinum is polluted by genuine supply and confused by true demand, at some juncture the market could be the first to be shut down, besides, hardly anyone even knows that there is such a metal.

But, yes, both gold and platinum have much merit going forward, hedging against each other and both hedge against everything else. Magic together.

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (64893)8/5/2010 5:10:10 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217545
 
hello pezz, today's report

whatever leveraged gold i got Message 26720305 at hkd 10,810 per tael on july 30 i unloaded today at hkd 11,040

2% is good enough for now, for 5 days of anxiously watching
but hey, no due diligence necessary and no management announcements to pay attention to

these leveraged 2%s tends to add up rather quickly

the 2%s must be taken and taken care of, and converted into mineralized surplus at whatever the spot gold price

and so we tap the waste heat of the useless gold market, and make sustainable an addictive hobby

now the leverage capacity must wait for the next opportune moment to position for the next 2%

such is the only use of useless paper gold, a deformed derivative of gold, which in turn is also useless but for clawing onto a hard-won position as long as such hard-wins are denominated in troy ounces

if only i can do 2% every 5 days then i would be ... :0)

cheers, tj