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Technology Stocks : Western Digital (WDC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lee Martin who wrote (7253)11/8/1997 10:46:00 AM
From: Will Cunningham  Respond to of 11057
 
Lehman maintains Outperform (cautiously):

Headline: Western Digital: Pre-Announces Downward 2Q, Reducing Estimates Author: Kimberly Alexy, CFA 1(212)526-3141 Rating: 2 Company: WDC SEG QNTM Country: EPS CUS Industry: COMPUT Ticker : WDC Rank(Prev): 2-Outperform Rank(Curr): 2-Outperform Price : $23 7/8 52wk Range: $55-26 Price Target: $47 Today's Date : 11/07/97 Fiscal Year : JUN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ EPS 1997 1998 1999 - - QTR. Actual Prev. Curr. Prev. Curr. Prev. Curr. 1st: 0.35A 0.67A 0.67A - -E - -E - - 2nd: 0.67A 0.84E 0.22E - -E - -E - - 3rd: 0.87A 0.90E 0.46E - -E - -E - - 4th: 0.95A 1.02E 0.66E - -E - -E - - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year:$ 2.85A $ 3.44E $ 2.01E $ - -E $ - -E $ - $ - Street Est.: $ 3.92E $ 3.44E $ 4.81E $ 4.23E $ - - $ - - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Price (As of 11/6): $30 1/4 Revenue (1997): 4.2 Bil. Return On Equity (97): 47.0 % Proj. 5yr EPS Grth: N/A Shares Outstanding: 94.0 Mil. Dividend Yield: N/A Mkt Capitalization: 2.84 Bil. P/E 1998; 1999 : 9.0 X; N/A Current Book Value: $6.60 /sh Convertible: - -Debt- to-Capital: 0.0 % Disclosure(s): None ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ****************************************************************************** * This morning, Western Digital announced that pricing pressure and production issues will negatively impact earnings for the quarter. Management gave EPS guidance of $0.20-$0.30, compared to previous First Call consensus of $0.83.
* The company described an environment of highly aggressive pricing in desktop drives, particularly in the distribution channel. Fujitsu was cited as the chief price aggressor.
* Unit guidance remains in the 7.3MM to 7.5MM range for the quarter. However, price erosion - already double-digit and 2%-3% more than normal - is expected to continue to worsen. Ramp issues in 1.7GB/platter TFI are hurting costs and mix.
* WD plans to respond to these issues by speeding its transition to MR, upping its mix outlook to 50% MR in the March quarter and 75% MR in the June quarter. The current quarter may see a charge of $15-$30MM related to TFI issues.
* We are reducing our 2QFY98 EPS estimates to $0.22, on pricing and transition issues. The company has deferred 2H guidance until Comdex; we will likely revisit our 2H numbers thereafter. We cautiously maintain our 2-Outperform rating on the shares.
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