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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (377347)8/9/2010 8:53:11 PM
From: KLP6 Recommendations  Respond to of 793914
 
Drudge: OBAMA GOES GRAY FOR FALL...Attacks Bush... IF Empty Desk Zero worked 1/10th as hard doing his job as he does attacking GWB, he'd at least be able to say he was doing something.

Party, Bash, Party, Bush, Party, Bash Bush, Party, Golf, Toss, Golf, Under, Golf, Bus, Bash Bush, Party, Bash, Party, Bush, Party.

What an Lackluster, Incompetent, Dweeb.



To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (377347)8/9/2010 9:37:57 PM
From: DMaA  Respond to of 793914
 
The worst part is that the premise of their Bush Bashing is a BIG LIE. They claim the origins of our financial problems lie with his supposed laissez faire, free market deregulation policies when he was actually an ANTI-Free market big government, big regulating big spender.

Republicans should rop-a-dope the democrats. Join in on the Bush bashing. Agree that yes, he helped create our problems because he was JUST LIKE YOU GUYS!!!



To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (377347)8/12/2010 11:58:37 AM
From: Peter Dierks1 Recommendation  Respond to of 793914
 
Can the Republicans Win Back the Senate? I Do the Math.
William Galston
August 10, 2010 | 4:41 pm

Last month I published a piece suggesting that while the odds of a Republican takeover of the Senate were not high, the possibility could no longer be ignored. My article was not well received. Critics argued that (among my many sins), I had cherry-picked surveys, given credence to the (allegedly) fatally flawed Rasmussen results, and worst of all, ignored Nate Silver’s superior methodology.

In the ensuing four weeks, a number of articles arguing roughly what I did have appeared. The publication today of a new survey from the conservative group American Crossroads offers an opportunity to revisit the issue.

Because the American Crossroads poll uses samples of only 100 from each of thirteen key Senate races, we can learn little about the individual contests. Of more significance is the overall finding, which essentially replicates Stan Greenberg’s, that respondents find various versions of the generic Republican narrative more persuasive than the competing Democratic arguments. The Republicans this year are campaigning with the wind in their sails. If some Democrats in tight races survive, it will be because they have managed to tack skillfully in these adverse conditions.

So what of the individual races? The overall picture is this: Democrats begin with 44 safe and 4 likely seats, for a total of 48, while Republicans begin with 34 safe seats and 4 likely. That leaves 14 seats in play that will decide the control of the Senate. If Democrats win just 2 and Joe Lieberman continues to caucus with them, Vice President Biden’s tie-breaking vote will enable them to maintain control. Conversely, Republicans need to win at least twelve out of 14 (with a complication I’ll return to).

The following table summarizes where we are now as we await the results of the Colorado primary contests.
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