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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rich evans who wrote (124028)8/11/2010 5:33:38 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 132070
 
>>A slowdown in growth is not recession but a weak recovery.<<

the problem is that excludes the critical context of terminal deficits and trillions in fed QE.

you are basically arguing that a 2 income household that lost 20% of its income is "recovering" by running up its credit cards to cover the 20% decline in income.

it sounds absurd because it is. see the first and third charts...

market-ticker.org



To: rich evans who wrote (124028)8/11/2010 7:47:51 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
I also don't get why I would buy Coke and P&G in a deflationary environment. Won't they lose pricing power? Yes, they will survive, but I want to make money, not lose less than other people. Of course, Grantham is in the relative performance game, so he has different motivations.



To: rich evans who wrote (124028)8/12/2010 7:14:52 PM
From: Freedom Fighter  Respond to of 132070
 
Rich,

As long as the Fed is paying interest on excess reserves, I don't think this money is going to make it's way into the economy UNLESS banks perceive better money making opportunities making loans (adjusted for risk).

If I understand it correctly, the Fed is simply going to swap MBS for treasuries, but they will still come from banks and become excess reserves not being lent out.