To: Sycamore who wrote (4850 ) 11/8/1997 8:44:00 PM From: qdog Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11888
The world's markets are still on some very shaky grounds. While most are starting to focus on Asia; south of the border in Latin America the Brazilian market is taking a beating. When you consider that this leg of the bull market, that began in 1982 is fueled by world growth and consumerism, our industries in selected sectors have been racking up stellar growth because of it. You are now in some risky waters because of the errosion of wealth that has occur this year and more precisely, this past month or so, in the rest of the worlds markets. This will have an effect here in the US markets. Just as alot of stocks rose wioth others they will fall in concert. Some more than others. As this effect contiues then it is problematic for many fast, high growth companies and there earnings. Take SUNW, which posted disappointting earnings. The reason cited was Asian sales were bad and with the strengthening dollar. That dollar keeps getting stronger because of a flight to security and fear. One reason the US bond market is strong is the flight to that haven of security. Eventually this will take a toll on US securities on a braod basis, while a select few will still continue that demostrate earnings growth, irregardless. You betcha I got some insurance in this market, OEX put's (prefer the 100 over the 500). Whether Monday is a bad day, well you should know early if Asia continues to slide and the European markets follow suit. Interesting employment report Friday. That's the lowest unemployment since '73. There is a scarier bear market than any of the crashes. It was one of drip and drip consecutive down days that finally ended in '74, but the lingering effect was well into the '80's. The precipitous drop in October was only 7% and total form the high of 15%. Hardly the '87 or '29 crashes which were +20% one day events and +30% total decline. As to AIPN earnings report; you mean there were folks expecting earnings? Quess it goes to show you that they still have plenty of work ahead of them in the exploration phase and then other endeavours. It's another non-event, just like the announcement of people are a non-event, IMO. You still are and should be interested in two announcements, selling part of this lease and drilling the well. Those are the only release's that have any merit.