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To: Defrocked who wrote (7464)11/8/1997 8:13:00 PM
From: vegetarian  Respond to of 18056
 
Regarding raising interest rates by AG next week,
here is part of the commentary by Bob Bose in his weekly economic update, Quote:

There was, however, one very interesting item that received,
surprisingly, very little coverage - a speech on Friday by
Chairman Greenspan at the Center for Financial Studies in
Frankfurt, Germany. The topic was measuring prices, or
inflation if you will, and it is available in its entirety on
the FED's website.

The salient items are that Greenspan referred to the Boskin
Commission Report that had concluded that inflation was over-
stated by perhaps one full percentage point and then noted
that "Researchers at the Federal Reserve and elsewhere have
come up with similar figures." A few more quotes are also
noteworthy. "Recent work by staff economists at the Federal
Reserve Board has added corroborating evidence of price
mismeasurement, ... " and "... that the true quality-adjusted
prices have been rising more slowly than published price
indexes."

While I realize the job of the FED is forward looking, and
"published price indexes" are simply reporting current data,
Greenspan's remarks do not imply a near term rate increase.
First, if the Chairman of the FED believes the indexes
overstate inflation, and inflation is low, there would not
appear to be a need to tighten unless one expected a pretty
sharp acceleration. And two, these remarks simply remove
any political cover for a rate increase this week.