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Gold/Mining/Energy : Verde Agritech -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rocket Red who wrote (1425)8/19/2010 4:59:08 PM
From: TheSlowLane  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 16592
 
Good point about investors needing to find a home for all that cash if/when POT gets taken out.



To: Rocket Red who wrote (1425)8/19/2010 11:50:44 PM
From: Rocket Red  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 16592
 
Jed's e-mail too Pescod from Brazil

He finally has time to e-mail us a comment from Brazil, this is
what he writes:
“Life has comeback in a strong way to the fertilizer and agriculture
sectors. My two favourite companies Amazon Mining
and Great Quest Metals have begun to benefit. The catalysts are
more macro than the achievement of company specific milestones,
though our successful nutrient availability test at Amazon
is good reason for renewed investor confidence. Drought in
Russia, has prompted that government to halt exports of wheat
to ensure the country can feed its populace, with Ukraine
threatening to curtail export quotas for the same reason. By
2009 estimates Russia was the world’s third largest exporter of
wheat and Ukraine was the 6th largest. To add insult to injury
Australia the world’s 4th largest wheat exporter announced lack
of rain could reduce their wheat for export by 33% this year.
Share prices across the sector have climbed, as savvy investors
gobbled up their favourite agriculturally related investments
to help them pay for groceries this fall. Prompting the
most exciting development of all BHP’s bid for Potash Corp.
This is great news for Amazon and our shareholders. BHP
was planning to build the largest new potash project in the
world, the capital investment a staggering $10BB with production
expected late this decade. I see BHP’s bid as an admission
that building a new conventional mine is not a feasibly economic
way to enter this sector as a major player. Confirming
what Bill Doyle, CEO of Potash Corp has been saying all along
and our thinking at Amazon, that new conventional potash
mines are not good investments, the thinking that lead us to
embark on our lower CapEx shorter build time Cerrado Verde
ThermoPotash project. I do expect BHP will be successful in
acquiring Potash Corp, but they will have to increase the bid.
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan
Amazon Mining
David Pescod T: 780.408.1750 Debbie Lewis T: 780.408.1748 Fax: 780.408.1501 Page 2
However don’t hold out for a white knight Vale is the
only company that has the firepower and appetite to compete
for PCS and after the mess their takeover of Inco has
caused Prime Minister Harper would be committing political
suicide if he didn’t stop a Vale takeover of another major
Canadian asset. While investors may be rooting around
for the next takeover, the surest way to make money after
one these multi-billion dollar pure plays are gobbled up is
to position yourself for the back draft created in the Canadian
market. Upwards of $43 billion of capital is currently
tied up in Potash Corp all of it wants to be invested in fertilizer
and exposed to agriculture. After the company is swallowed
into BHP a diversified mega-miner most of that capital
will be looking for a new home. The purchase of Inco
made Sherritt and FNX Mining must have equities for institutional
investors across Canada, in the same Rio Algom
then Noranda/Falconbride, was a boon for shareholders of
First Quantum and Teck Resources. Even more recently
Red Back Mining’s merger with Kinross has institutions
scrambling for a new exposure to West African gold in
names like Semafo, Keegan and Golden Star. At Amazon
we want to position ourselves as an emerging potash producer
worthy of some of that capital as investors look for