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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DuckTapeSunroof who wrote (45103)8/23/2010 12:30:53 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
Sure they did ('right away'...) look at the chart again and notice that *not only* did the downward trend continue

That extra downtrend was noticed (in your chart) and mentioned by me, and it was after the current point in Obama's presidency.
Presidencies start in January, now its August, to the end of the "presidential year" you have part of August, September, October, November, December, and part of January. Pretty much 5 months, or not far below half a year. Note that the extra downtrend at the end starts only at the end of the 2nd year, not the middle, we are currently in the non-trending point for Reagan, before that where it goes up and down, but is close to 50% of Reagan.

Sure its a minor point, but then the whole comparing of trend-lines of popularity of presidents is a pretty minor point IMO.

Re: "At this point of his presidency he was decisively above Obama."

At this point, Reagan is in the high 40s (possibly as high as 50, the chart isn't broken down in to individual months, and I haven't made the effort of trying to measure off portions of the lines, beyond just quickly eyeballing them).

The recent data for Obama was 41%. High 40s is well above 41 in this context.


Re: "More importantly after the 2nd year Reagan's ratings decisively broke to the upside."

Sure. But Obama has NOT YET even completed his second year in the office so it is impossible to show a chart for his third year YET.


Sure, but there is no good reason to think Obama will have the same type of third year surge.