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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DuckTapeSunroof who wrote (45302)8/26/2010 5:52:44 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
OK, checking back now, since there 49 percent or so to 41 percent is significant. Its significant in terms of being fairly large and important. Its probably statistically significant as well. I can't be 100% sure without the margin of error data from those polls, but its likely.

And if it isn't statistically significant, if the polls are so inaccurate that they can't be said with high confidence to tell the difference between the high 40s and barely above 40, then the whole point about Obama's polls matching Reagan's (when they actually did reasonably closely match Reagan's) goes out the window, since actual approval could easily have been eight percentage points apart when your chart shows them as being equal.