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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Snowshoe who wrote (143293)8/29/2010 9:41:09 PM
From: Snowshoe  Respond to of 540924
 
Nate Silver comments on Miller's surge...

A Closer Look at Alaska
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com

The only difference between a case like Pennsylvania and one like Alaska is that, in Pennsylvania there was an abundance of polling to examine – the race was surveyed about 15 times in the final six weeks of the campaign. Thus, we were able to see Mr. Sestak’s surge as it happened. In Alaska, on the other hand, the six-week-old Ivan Moore Research poll was the last one we had.

As I remarked the other day, a six-week-old primary poll is about as useful as a six-week-old tuna fish sandwich – particularly when the voters aren’t equally familiar with the two candidates.