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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Joseph Silent who wrote (74019)9/9/2010 2:56:25 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Indeed, intuition is my favourite thinking process. It works wonders. I'm reminded of our son who at high school answered a maths question the class got [which was apparently quite a tricky one]. The teacher asked him how he got the answer. He said he didn't know, but that seemed to be right.

It's something to do with pattern recognition. Things just look right. It works for all sorts of things from playing golf to pondering telecommunications systems.

Yes, the final destination of any particular treadmill isn't necessarily a good one. But stasis is not an option. Stasis is what a rock does. Entropy and the four forces of the apocalypse take care of rocks, turning them into finely ground dust, ready to try again.

Quite right that belief in progress is an act of faith, but it is consistent with objective reality. A billion years of evolutionary pressure says it's the right thing to do. That's a circuitous Goedelian self-referential argument, but it's the best I have. Sitting in a heap saying ommmmm all day gets you nowhere except being turned into dinner for something more active.

Choosing to have thoughts or not is a major aim of mine. Unfortunately, government departments and mosquitoes like to interrupt the process to feed themselves. Nevertheless, I manage to get a lot of it done. Which thoughts to choose is a considerable luxury to have.

We are currently on Rarotonga [an island of 32 km road circumference]. There isn't actually anywhere to go to other than somewhere where you aren't. So the tourists rent motor scooters and zoom around the island. My strategy has been to catch the bus [one goes clockwise, another anti-clockwise] and walk the other direction back to base. The fine details are what's interesting and they are less observable from a motor scooter which requires eyes mostly ahead to avoid bumping head on a coconut palm trunk. <somewhere to get to which is better than here is only an idea. We are hamsters on a treadmill trying to convince ourselves that being on a treadmill is progress. >

Sitting still is not progress. There is a small probability that a movement is in fact progress. Better than even odds is what life is about. Though as you say, movement for the sake of movement is not an improvement.

Sir Keith Holyoake, a NZ Prime Minister in the 1960s, made a famous statement "We will stand back to back and shoulder to shoulder marching in the same general direction". An artist painted a picture of confused people doing exactly that, which amused me at the time. That's politicians for you.

Mqurice