To: bentway who wrote (585533 ) 9/14/2010 5:58:20 PM From: tejek Respond to of 1575357 "With respect to the NOD increase, I think it is the modification redefault wave beginning to build and new modifications slowing to a trickle, indicating banks have lost their primary borrower re-leveraging tool," says mortgage industry consultant Mark Hanson. I think this was the inevitable last step and was expected. Its took longer than normal because of the gov't's push to get some of these loans into modification while some banks held off putting the properties back on the market.Yesterday J.P. Morgan Chase (NYSE: jpm) cited the "shadow inventory" of foreclosed properties as one of their primary reasons for pushing back their expectations for a housing recovery as far as 2014. No question, a growing supply of repossessed properties will put further downward pressure on home prices, especially given the current 12.5 month supply of existing homes already for sale. I would like to know where they got that 12.5 month supply. The last I checked......which was last month....it was 8.8 months. As for housing not recovering until 2014, really depends on the local markets. Some markets have already started recovering, others are in the process, still others may take that long.The question now is: Where does the government go from here? Some argue that housing needs to correct on its own, without artificial stimulus, as painful as it will be, in order to recover fully. What the Obama Administration has to decide is, will that correction, involving millions of foreclosures, take too large a toll on the greater economy? The gov't should do nothing esp. if the economy continues to reocver. We have taken the hit on housing......this will be the last of it.